Cowboys – Eagles NFL Pick with Analysis and Trends

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Dallas Cowboys

vs.

Philadelphia Eagles 

NFL Pick

ATS Trends

11/11/2018  

By: Jason Green 

  

Dallas Cowboys (3-5 SU 3-5 ATS) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (4-4 SU 3-5 ATS)

 

The Cowboys have lost two in a row and three of their last five Games and are two Games back of the Washington Redskins in the NFC East. They have only totaled 31 points in their last two Games and after their last loss head coach Jason GArrett may be on the hot seat. Dak Prescott may also be on the hot seat, as he has not progressed as a QB after a great rookie season in 2016. Dallas only ranks 26th in the league in ppg. 

The Eagles are coming off a bye week and they have won two of their last three Games. They have been up and down on the season and they have not beaten a team that currently has a winning record. They are not the high scoring Eagles they were last season only ranking 21st in the league in ppg, but their D has been solid ranking tied for 5th in points allowed. 

At 5Dimes sportsbook the Eagles are a 6-point home favorite with a total of 43.5. 

This season the Cowboys are 3-5 ATS with an O/U record of 3-5 and the Eagles are 3-5 ATS with an O/U record of 3-5. 

This is the first Game of the season between these NFC East rivals and last season they split the two Games facing each other with each winning on the road. 

The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last five Games between these teams. 

In their last Game on Monday night at home the Cowboys lost to the Tennessee Titans 28-14. They were outGAined 340 yards to 340 yards, committed the Game’s only turnover and they only rushed for 72 yards. Dallas was shut out in the 2nd half where they GAve up 14 points. 

Prescott passed 243 yards with two TD and an INT, but he was sacked five times and did not do much in the 2nd half. Amari Cooper had a pretty good debut in the loss with five catches for 58 yards and a TD. Ezekiel Elliot only rushed for 61 yards only averaging 3.6 yards per carry and he has only totaled 94 rushing yards in his last two Games. In those Games, he only averaged 2.2 yards per carry and 3.6 yards per carry and he needs to get it going. 

While Philly ranks 2nd in the league in run defense they only rank 25th in pass defense. 

In their last Game before their bye last week the Eagles beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 24-18. While the Eagles had two turnovers and only committed one they had 60 more total yards (395-335), rushed for 133 yards, and held the Jags to 70 rushing yards. 

Carson Wentz passed for 286 yards with three TD and one INT in the Jax Game, Jordan Matthews led the Eagles with 91 receiving yards, and Josh Adams led the team with 61 rushing yards. Wentz only has two INT all season and the one in the win over the Jags was his first pick since his first start of the season. Wentz and company will be facing a Cowboys’ defense that ranks 5th in the league against the pass and 10th against the run. 

Key ATS Betting Trends 

 

Cowboys

1-4 ATS in their last five Games facing teams from the NFC 

6-1 ATS in their last 7 Games after ACCumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous Game

Under record of 13-3 in their last 16 Games 

 

Eagles   

2-5 ATS in their last 7 Games

3-7 ATS in their last 10 Games after a win

Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 home Games 

 

Jason’s Pick: The Cowboys’ ship is sinking fast and things are not good in the Big D. If they cannot run the ball they struggle and they will not be able to rush for many yards in this Game facing a more than solid Philly run defense. Wentz will have a good Game and lead the Eagles to the win, where they will cover, sending the Cowboys to their 3rd straight loss.