Eagles at Jaguars NFL Pointspread Pick

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Philadelphia Eagles

vs.

Jacksonville Jaguars 

NFL Pick

Current Odds

10/28/2018  

 

By: Jason Green 

  

Philadelphia Eagles (3-4 SU 2-5 ATS) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (3-4 SU 3-4 ATS)

In merry old England two of the more disappointing teams so far face off with the Jacksonville Jaguars taking on the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles. Hard to believe both of these teams are under .500 and they almost met in last season’s Super Bowl. 

The wheels have fallen off for the Jags, who have lost three in a row where they have been outscored 90-28. They have struggled on both sides of the ball and their struggles on defense have killed them, as Jax is not a high scoring team. The Jags only rank 29th in the league averaging 16.6 ppg. QB Blake Bortles was even beNChed in the last Game, but will get the start in this one. 

The Eagles have lost three of their last Four Games and they have not looked the same on the offensive side of the ball even with Carson Wentz back under center. While the defense has been pretty good ranking 6th in the league in points against they only rank 22nd in the league in ppg. Philly’s three wins on the season have come against teams that have a combined record of 6-15. 

At 5Dimes sportsbook the Eagles are a 3-point favorite with a total sitting at 42. 

This season the Eagles are 2-5 ATS with an O/U record of 3-4 and the Jaguars are 3-4 ATS with an O/U record of 3-4. 

The last time these two teams met was in the 2014 season.  

In their last Game, the Eagles were at home and they lost to the Carolina Panthers 21-17. The Eagles were outGAined 371 yards to 342 yards, committed the only turnover in the Game, and they only rushed for 58 yards. On top of that they were only 3/12 on 3rds down. 

Wentz had a pretty good Game against Carolina passing for 310 yards with two TD and mno INT and TE Zach Ertz and WR Alshon Jeffery combined for 226 receiving yards. Wentz got little help from the run Game, as the lead rusher was Wendell Smallwood and he only rushed for 32 yards averaging 3.6 yards per carry. Jay Ajayi is out for the season with a knee injury and the Eagles need some help in the run Game. 

The Jaguars rank 1st in the league in pass defense, but only 25th in run defense, but can Philly take advantage of that with their struggling run Game. 

Jacksonville lost their 3rd in a row in their last Game losing to the Houston Texans 20-7. The Jags only had 13 fewer overall yards (272 to 259), but they only rushed for 70 yards and had three turnovers and they did not force any. 

Blake Bortles only passed for 61 yards and lost two fumbles before being yanked for Cody Kessler. In the 3-Game losing streak he has five INT and only two INT and in the one Game in that span he passed for 430 yards in a loss to the Kansas City Chiefs he was picked off Four times. The run Game also has big issues and in the loss to Houston Bortles was the leading rusher with 30 yards. T.J. Yeldon has been the main guy in the backfield, but has not produced and he is questionable for this Game with an ankle injury. 

RB Leonard Fournette has been out most of the season with a hamstring injury and he is listed as doubtful for this Game. Carlos Hyde recently came to the Jags in a trade and this will be the first Game he plays for them. The team needs him to produce right away and on the season while with the Cleveland Browns he rushed for 382 yards with five TD. 

 

Key Betting Trends 

 

Eagles

1-5 ATS in their last 6 Games overall

2-5 ATS in their last 7 Games after an ATS loss

Over record of 26-10 in their last 36 Games facing a team with a losing record 

 

Jaguars  

1-4 ATS in their last 5 Games overall

4-1 ATS in their last 5 Games after a double-digit home loss 

Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 Games facing a team with a losing record 

 

Jason’s Pick: The Jags are a mess and Bortles will be on a short leash in this Game in London. While the Eagles are far from the Super Bowl winning team they were last season they are not a mess like the Jags. They will bouNCe back in this Game and win and cover sending the Jaguars to their 4th straight loss.