Packers – Seahawks Free NFL Pick

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Green Bay Packers

vs.

Seattle Seahawks 

ATS Trends

NFL Pick

11/15/2018  

By: Jason Green 

  

Green Bay Packers (4-4-1 SU 4-5 ATS) vs. Seattle Seahawks (4-5 SU 5-3-1 ATS)

Hard to believe just after the halfway point to the season that neither the Packers or the Seahawks are over .500. The Packers snapped their two-Game losing streak in their last Game where their offense came through putting up 31 points and they only GAve up 12. They trail the 6-3 Chicago Bears in the NFC North and they still face them in the Windy City, but the team has to keep winning for any post-season possibilities. 

The Seahawks have lost two in a row and in their last Game they played their 2nd straight close Game against the L.A. Rams, but came up short again. they are at 4-5 with the Rams at 9-1 in the NFC West, so Seattle will likely have to rely on the Wild Card to make the playoffs. The Seahawks did run the ball well in the loss to the Rams and they rank first in the league averaging 152.2 rushing yards per Game. 

At 5Dimes sportsbook the Seahawks are a 2.5-point home favorite with a total of 49 points. 

This season the Packers are 4-5 ATS with an O/U record of 5-4 and the Steelers are 5-3-1 ATS with an O/U record of 3-6. 

These teams met last season in Green Bay where the Packers beat the Seahawks 17-9. 

The Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last Four Games facing the Seahawks. 

In their last Game, the Packers were at home and they were impressive in their 31-12 win over the Miami Dolphins. The Game was close for a while, but Green Bay outscored Miami 17-3 in the 2nd half. The Packers had 377 yards to Miami’s 294 yards and forced two turnovers and for a change they ran the ball well to the tune of 195 rushing yards. 

Aaron Rodgers passed for 199 yards with two TD and no INT and five different players had at least 24 receiving yards. Aaron Jones was the big star in the Game rushing for 145 yards with two TD and he nearly averaged 10 yards per carry. Rodgers has not been picked off in his last five Games and it helped in the Dolphins Game getting help from the ground Game. Jones has been playing well as of late and his play will be key facing the weakness of the Seattle defense, which is their run defense. 

The Seahawks were in LA LA LAnd in their last Game losing to the L.A. Rams 36-31 where they GAve up 16 points in the 4th quarter. They were outGAined 456 yards to 414 yards, but they busted out for 273 rushing yards in the loss. 

Russell Wilson passed for 176 yards with three TD and no INT, but he was sacked Four times. Rashaad Penny had a breakout Game, as the #1 pick of Seattle in the last draft went for 108 yards after totaling 11 yards in his previous Game. Wilson had 92 rushing yards in the Game and the more the Seahawks can run the ball the more they will keep Aaron Rodgers and company on the sidelines. 

The Seahawks will be facing a Green Bay run defense that does not rank in the top 20 in the league. 

 

Key Betting Trends 

Packers ATS Trends

1-4 ATS in their last 5 road Games

0-4 ATS in their last 4 Games after an ATS win 

Over record of 23-9 in their last 32 Games 

Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday Games 

Green Bay is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Games following a ATS win 

Green Bay is 8-17 ATS in their last 25 Games in November

Green Bay is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road Games

Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Games as an underdog 

Green Bay is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs NFC 

Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Games as a road underdog

Green Bay is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Games on turf

 

Seahawks ATS Trends

4-1 ATS in their last 5 Games 

12-5 ATS in their last 17 home Games facing a team with a losing road record

Under record of 4-2 in their last 6 Games 

Seattle is 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 Thursday Games 

Seattle is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 home Games vs  a team with a losing road record  

Seattle is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Games overall 

Seattle is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs  NFC 

Seattle is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Games as a home favorite 

 

Jason’s Pick: while the Packers were impressive in their last Game the Seahawks were also impressive even in a loss. Green Bay is 0-4 on the road this season and in their last five road Games they have covered the spread oNCe. Seattle is 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight Thursday Night Games and look for that trend to cotinine. This will be a close Game, but the Seahawks will run the ball well and make some key stops when it counts and they will win and cover at home.