Panthers – Eagles Free Pick against the Spread

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Carolina Panthers

vs.

Philadelphia Eagles 

Week 7

NFL Pick

10/21/2018  

By: Jason Green 

  

Carolina Panthers (3-2 SU 2-3 ATS) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (3-3 SU 2-4 ATS)

 

The Panthers had won two in a row before losing to the Washington Redskins in the Nationals Capital in their last Game 23-17. They had scored at least 31 points in their two wins before only putting up 17 points against the Redskins. Carolina is led by a rushing defense that ranks 4th in the league in rushing yards per Game and they have a solid defense ranking 10th in points allowed per Game. 

The Eagles evened their record at 3-3 in their last Game with a 34-13 win over the woeful New York Giants. Their three wins have come against teams that have only a total of Four wins. The defense is there for Philly ranking a legit tied for 5th in the league in points against, but their offense only ranks 20th in the league in ppg. Carson Wentz was solid in the last Game, but that was facing the Giants. 

At 5Dimes sportsbook the Eagles are a 4.5-point home favorite with a total sitting at 45.5. 

This season the Panthers are 2-3 ATS with an O/U record of 3-2 and the Eagles are 2-4 ATS with an O/U record of 3-3. 

These teams met last season in Carolina where the Eagles beat the Panthers 28-23. 

The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Games against the Panthers. 

Turnovers killed the Panthers where they had three early ones, which led to a 17-0 Washington lead. Carolina made a solid comeback and had a chance late in the 4th quarter, but could not find the end zone. Overall, they had more yards than the Skins (350-288), but while their strength is running the ball they only had 81 rushing yards. 

Cam Newton passed for 275 yards with two TD and one INT and five players had at least 43 receiving yards led by Devin FuNChess with 76 yards. Newton also led the team with 43 rushing yards and Christian McCaffrey only rushed for 20 yards averaging a weak 2.5 yards per carry. The Panthers are much better when they run the ball, as in their two losses Newton has his top two Games in terms of passing yards. 

Newton and company will be facing a Philly defense that ranks 23rd against the pass and 2nd against the run, which is not a good matchup for the Panthers. 

The Eagles are coming off a conviNCing 34-13 road win over the Giants in their last Game. They only out-GAined New York by 22 yards (401-379), but they forced the Games only turnover and on 3rd down they were 9/16 while the Giants were only 4/14. Wentz had a big Game passing for 278 yards and three TD with no picks and Nelson Agholor and Alshon Jeffery combined for 165 receiving yards. Philly did not have the best ground Game and while they rushed for 108 yards Wendell Smallwood and Corey Clement, who combined for 94 rushing yards, only averaged 2.8 and 3.9 yards per carry respectively. 

After six Games the Panthers’ D could not be more balanced ranking 15th in the league in pass defense and run defense. 

 

Key Betting Trends 

Panthers 

5-0 ATS in their last 5 Games after a loss

1-4 ATS in their last 5 road Games 

Over record of 9-4 in their last 13 Games 

 

Eagles  

4-1 ATS in their last 5 Games after a win

Under record of 7-1 in their last 8 home Games 

 

Jason’s Pick: The Favorite has covered the spread in Four of the last five Games between these teams and that trend will continue. Looking at the betting trends you have to go with Philly, as the Panthers have failed to cover in Four of their last five road Games. Wentz will get it done in this one and while it will not be a blowout the Eagles will win and cover the spread in their house.