Houston Texans vs. L.A. Chargers – Week 3 NFL Free Pick – 9/22/19

Chargers Free Pick
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The Chargers offense fell flat in losing their last game on the road and are back home where they are three-point favorites hosting the Texans with a total sitting at 47.5.

The Texans won their last game 13-12 over the Jacksonville Jaguars stopping a two-point conversion with only 36 seconds left in the game.

While the Chargers are known for their dynamic offense led by Phillip Rivers that offense was a no-show in their last game losing to the Detroit Lions 13-10.

These AFC teams have not met since the 2016 season.

The Chargers have covered the spread in their last six games facing the Texans.

Big Time Stop

In the Texans 13-12 win over the Jags the defensive stop saved the day in a game where the offense did not do much. They were outgained 281 yards to 263 yards and their D was great through three quarters only allowing a field goal but gave up nine points in the 4th quarter.

DeShawn Watson was only 16/29 for 159 yards with no TD and no INT and the offensive line issues for Houston continues, as they gave up four sacks in the game.

DeAndre Hopkins and William Fuller V led Houston with only 40 receiving yards each and one bright spot for the offense was the play of Carlos Hyde, who rushed for 90 yards averaging a legit 4.5 yards per carry.

The Texans have given up 10 sacks in two games after giving up the most in the league last season. The Chargers had four sacks in their season opening win over the Colts, but in the loss to the Lions last week had none.

Close but No Cigar

In their 13-10 loss to the Lions the Bolts had a chance to get the win, but Rivers had a pass picked off in the end zone with just over a minute left in the game. L.A. outgained the Lions (424 yards to 339 yards) and had the same number of turnovers (2) but still took the loss.

Rivers passed for 293 yards with no TD and a pick and Keenen Allen and Mike Williams combined for 181 receiving yards. The Chargers also had more rushing yards in the game and Austin Ekeler and Justin Jackson combined for 125 rushing yards.

The Chargers were sloppy in the game, as they had two TD’s negated by penalties and Ekeler fumbled the ball on the Lions one-yard line. On top of that kicker Matt Prater missed a 40-yard field goal as well as an extra point.

Our Prediction

The Chargers need to clean it up at home but playing in Carson they do not really have home field advantage with a less than rabid fan base. They are only 1-4-1 ATS in their last six home games.

Phillip Rivers and the Chargers offense is simply too good to be held down for two straight weeks. Sure, the Texans have J.J. Watt and Whitney Mercilus, who has three sacks, but Rivers and company will be too much for the Texans to handle and they will win and cover the short home spread.

PICK:Chargers -3

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