Baltimore Ravens vs. Seattle Seahawks – Week 7 NFL Betting Analysis
Baltimore Ravens (4-2 1-5 ATS) at Seattle Seahawks (5-1 3-3 ATS)
In the Great Northwest this Sunday the 5-1 Seahawks are a 3.-5-point favorite hosting the 4-2 Ravens in a non-conference game with a total sitting at 50.5.
The public has been slightly backing the Ravens, as they opened as a 4-point underdog and as of Tuesday are a 3.5-point underdog.
The Ravens have won two straight and the Seahawks have won three in a row. This may be a good test for both teams, who have each played a pretty easy schedule to this point.
These teams have not met since the 2015 season and the Seahawks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games facing the Ravens.
Seattle ranks in the top 10 in the league in passing and rushing yards per game. Russell Wilson has jettisoned into the MVP conversation with his play and on the season, he has 14 TD and has not been intercepted.
The Jackson Show
In the Ravens last game, they beat the winless Cincinnati Bengals 23-17 where Lamar Jackson passed for 236 yards (0 TD 0 INT) and also led the team rushing for 156 yards and had a TD.
Jackson had five INT in the previous two game before the win over Cincy and turnovers will be a key facing a Seattle defense that only ranks 20th in the league but has a turnover differential of +3 and forced four turnovers in their last game.
Jackson also leads Baltimore in rushing and Mark Ingram III has been a good pickup with 424 yards and is averaging a legit 4.9 yards per carry.
Seattle has been pretty good against the pass this season, but the run D is a concern. They gave up 157 rushing yards in their last game and on the season only rank 23rd in the league against the run.
In their last game the Seahawks were down 20-6 facing the Cleveland Browns but came back to win 32-28. Wilson passed for nearly 300 yards with 2 TD and was not picked and while not the best WR corps they have been decent on the season.
One big reason the Seahawks are 5-1 is the play of RB Chris Carson. He has broken the 100+ yard barrier in the last three games, ranks 5th in the league in rushing yards, and in the win over the Browns he rushed for 124 yards with a TD and averaged 5.2 yards per carry. He will face a Baltimore run defense that ranks 4thin the league while their pass defense only ranks 25th.
The Seahawks are 2-1 at home this season but they have failed to cover the spread in their last four home games.
The Ravens covered in their first game of the season in a blowout win over the hapless Miami Dolphins but have failed to cover in their last five games.
While the Ravens are only 2-6 ATS in their last six games facing a team with a winning record the Seahawks are 4-1 in their last five games against a team with a winning record.
Jackson may have a good game in this one, but Seattle has a more balanced team and their run defense will keep the Ravens’ QB from having a big game on the ground. Wilson and Carson will play well and while Baltimore will not get blown out and give Seattle a game the Seahawks will win and cover giving 3.5 points.
PICK: Seahawks -3.5