New York Giants (4-7 7-4 ATS) at Seattle Seahawks (8-3 6-5 ATS)
On Sunday afternoon in the Great Northwest, there is an NFC matchup with playoff implications with the Seattle Seahawks hosting the New York Giants. The Seahawks are a big 10-point favorite with the total sitting at 48.
Big surprise the public has backed the Seahawks in this game, as they opened as a 7.5-point favorite and as of Wednesday are a 10-point favorite.
The Giants have won three in a row and even though tied with the Washington Football Team in the weak NFC East they hold the tiebreaker. The team has won three in a row but they may be without starting QB Daniel Jones, who left the last game with a hamstring injury.
After losing two in a row the Seahawks have won two straight and beat the Philadelphia Eagles 23-17 in their last game. They have a one-game lead over the L.A. Rams, who they face in their second-to-last game of the season, in the NFC West.
Seattle is a perfect 5-0 at home this season and while the Giants are only 2-4 on the road two of the wins in their last three games have been on the road.
New York ranks third to last in the league putting up an average of 19.5 ppg. Their four wins have come against teams that have a grand total of 13 wins.
The Seahawks have the third-highest team in the league. While their pass D ranks dead last that unit has been decent as of late and, overall, the defense has only given up 21 points and 17 points, respectively, in winning two in a row.
These teams have not met since the 2017 season. However, the Seahawks easily won that game and they have covered the spread in their last four games facing the G-Men.
Defense Comes Through Again
The Giants have played good defense on the season and that D was great in their last game, which was a 19-17 win over the Cincinnati Bengals. New York only gave up 155 total yards in the game and in their three-game win streak they have only given up an average of 18 ppg.
Daniel Jones is a question mark for this game and if he cannot go Colt McCoy will get the call. In the win over the Bengals, the longtime Washington backup came in and was 6-10 for 31 yards with no TD and no INT.
Jones also leads the Giants in rushing and the team’s second-leading rusher in Wayne Gallman rushed for 94 yards and a TD in the Cincy win. While Gallman has averaged 71.1 ppg in his last two games he has only averaged 2.9 yards per carry and 3.9 yards per carry respectively. Gallman has his work cut out for him against a Seattle run defense that has been great this season and this is especially the case if Jones cannot play.
Holding Onto the Rock Helps
After throwing four INT in two losses Seattle’s Russell Wilson he has not thrown a pick in the last two games. He has three TD in his last two games and in the win over Philly he passed for 230 yards with 177 of them to star WR DK Metcalf.
RB Chris Carson was back in the last game after missing more than a month with an injury and he rushed for 41 yards and a TD averaging 5.1 yards per carry.
The Giants’ strength on the defensive side of the ball has been against the run. However, Carson is back, and the secondary has to deal with Metcalf and Tyler Locket, who has 771 receiving yards and 8 TD.
Prediction
The Giants have covered the spread in their last six games as an underdog. However, the Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their five home games this season.
The Giants have been winning but facing weak teams. They face a tough Seahawks team at home that has found their D and pass rush in the last few games. Jones or not I see this game getting ugly quick, as Seattle will easily win this game and cover the double-digit spread.
PICK: Seahawks -10.5