Seattle Seahawks vs. L.A. Rams Week 10 NFL Free Pick – 11/15/20

172
Rams Pick
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Seattle Seahawks (6-2 5-2-1 ATS) at L.A. Rams (5-3 4-4 ATS)

The Seahawks head to La La Land in an NFC West matchup of two teams that have each lost two of their last three games. The Rams are a 1.5 home betting favorite in this division matchup with the total sitting at 55.5.

The total has slightly gone down since opening but the line has not changed.

This is the first game between these teams this season and last season they spit the two games facing each other with each winning a home.

Russell Wilson lost some MVP steam in the Seahawks last game wherein the 44-34 loss to the Buffalo Bills he was picked off twice.

Many have said the Seahawks are legit Super Bowl contenders in the NFC but the team has given up the second-most yards in the NFL and has the worst pass defense by a wide margin.

While the Rams are hard to figure out all of their losses have come against teams that are currently above .500. They are led by the league’s second-ranked defense and they will be rested coming off a bye week.

The Rams are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games against the Seahawks.

Turnovers Kill the Hawks

In the 44-34 loss to the Bills in their last game, they were only outgained by one yard (420 yards 419 yards) and stuffed the run but they had three turnovers, did not force any, and only rushed for 57 yards.

Wilson passed for 390 yards with two TD but was picked off twice and only rushed for five yards.

DK Metcalf is one of the league leaders in receiving yards and he has 269 receiving yards in his last two games.

Seattle needs to find the run game and unlike the team, in the last few seasons, they rank in the middle of the pack in terms of rushing yards per game. The team ranks first in passing yards per game but Wilson cannot do it all.

Chris Carson leads the team with 323 rushing yards and while averaging 4.9 yards per carry he has not been fed much.

Seattle will be facing Aaron Donald (league-leading 9 sacks) and a Rams’ D that has been legit against the pass and the run on the season.

Game to Forget

In their last game, the Rams lost to the Miami Dolphins where they took the L despite outgaining them 471 yards to 146 yards.

The Rams had four turnovers in the loss to Miami and gave up a special teams’ TD. They dominated the game in terms of yards and shut out the Fins in the second half but the mistakes were too much to overcome.

Jared Goff has the yards and 13 D but has also been picked off six times, three of them coming in the last three games, and only ranks 23rd in the league in QBR.

Darrell Henderson Jr. has played well as the lead back for the Rams but the team cannot get down and they need to feed him the rock more often. Still, that is easier said than done in this game, as Seattle does have a legit run D but their pass D has been lit up.

Cooper Kupp (527 yards) leads a deep WR corps for L.A. that has five players with at least 228 receiving yards.

The Seattle D needs to step up in this game or they will have to rely on Wilson again and that hurt them in the last game.

 Prediction

The Seahawks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog and the Rams are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite.

Wilson had two picks in the last game but do not expect mistakes like that in two straight. He will have a good game and so will the run game and the team will put up a lot of pojnts. Goff may get his numbers, but he will make mistakes, as he is simply not in the same echelon as Wilson.

Seattle will take this game on the road and show they are still one of the best teams in the NFC.

PICK: Seahawks +1.5