Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants – Week 1 NFL Pick

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cowboys at giants free nfl pick
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In the opening Sunday night game in Prime Time, the fight in the NFC East heats up in the Big Apple with the Giants playing host to the Cowboys.

Each of these teams made the playoffs last season and the Cowboys head to New York as a 3.5-point favorite in this division clash with a total of 46.5. Even on the road the public has backed America’s Team, as Dallas opened as a 3-point favorite and are at -3.5 as of Thursday morning.

Last season the Cowboys were 11-8 ATS with an O/U record of 9-10 and the Giants were the best betting team against the spread going 14-5 ATS with an O/U record of 8-10-1.

Last season the Dallas beat the Giants twice winning 23-16 on the road and 28-20 at home.

 

Dak on the Hotseat

Dak Prescott has a lot of pressure on him, as usual, this season, as the Cowboys are in Super Bowl or bust mode. They have won 12 games in each of the last two seasons and only have one playoff win to show for it.

Prescott passed for 2,860 yards with 23 TD but also had a career high with 15 picks and missed five games with an injury. His WR corps is not the best but he has a legit #1 receiver in CeeDee Lamb, who had 1,359 receiving yards with nine TD. Dalton Schultz ranked second on the team in receiving yards but bolted to the Houston Texans in the off-season.

Tony Pollard rushed for over 1,000 yards last season with nine TD and is the main back with Ezekiel Elliot gone.

Last season the Giants ranked a respectable 13th in the league defending the pass but only 28th defending the run. In the Dallas win in New York early last season Pollard rushed for 105 yards.

 

Can Jones Do It Again?

After a few up and down seasons with the Giants Daniel Jones emerged last season playing well and leading the G-Men to the playoffs. He was rewarded with a four-year $160 million dollar contract and must play well to live up to that. Last season he had a career high passing for 3,205 with 15 TD and he fixed his turnover issues with only five picks and two lost fumbles.

Darius Slayton led the team with 724 receiving yards and the team picked up Parris Campbell from the Colts, who had 623 receiving yards last season.

Saquon Barkley stayed healthy for a change and was one of the best backs in the league rushing for a career high 1,312 yards with 10 TD and also had 338 receiving yards. While having a big season in the two games facing the Cowboys, he only totaled 120 rushing yards.

Micah Parsons, who had 13.5 sacks last season, leads a loaded defense that may be one of the best units in the league this season. Last season America’s team ranked eighth in the league defending the pass and 22nd defending the run. In the off-season they made some solid moves to shore up their run D.

 

Betting Trends

Last season the Cowboys were 5-5 ATS on the road and the Giants were 5-3-1 ATS at home.

Last season the Cowboys were 1-3 ATS when they were on the road and at least a 3.5-point favorite. On the other side of the coin when the Giants were underdogs of 3.5-points or more they were 7-2 ATS.

 

Our Pick – Dallas -3 -115

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