Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys – Week 14 NFL Betting Analysis

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eagles at cowboys
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The Sunday night primetime game is a gem where in an NFC East clash the Dallas Cowboys play host to the Philadelphia Eagles.

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point favorite in this division game with the total sitting at 51.5. The public has bet this game even, as the line opened at Dallas -3.5 and that is what it has remained as of Thursday.

The 10-2 Eagles had their five-game win streak snapped in their last game with a bad 42-19 home loss to the San Francisco 49ers. Philly failed to cover in the rematch of late season’s NFC title game as a 3-point underdog and in their last five games are 1-2-2 ATS.

The 9-3 Cowboys won their fourth in a row in their last game with a 41-35 home win over the Seattle Seahawks. They failed to cover as a 9.5-point favorite and they had covered the spread in their previous three games.

The Cowboys last loss was a 28-23 road loss to the Eagles.

On the season the Eagles are 6-3-3 ATS with an O/U record of 7-5 and America’s Team is 8-4 ATS with an O/U record of 8-4.

A Game to Forget

The Eagles need to get over their bad loss to the 49ers where they were outgained 456 yards to 333 yards, only rushed for 46 yards, and gave up 14 points in each of the last three quarters.

In the San Fran loss Jalen Hurts passed for 298 yards with a TD and no picks and led the team with 20 rushing yards and A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith combined for 210 receiving yards.

On the season Philly ranks fourth in the league in scoring (27.4 ppg), 13th in passing yards per game, and eighth in rushing yards per game.

Hurts (2,995 yards 19 TD 10 INT) ranks eighth in the league in QBR and after six TD and no INT in two games he has four TD and two INT in the last three games. Swift (783 yards 4 TD) ranks fourth in the NFL in rushing yards but only had 13 yards in the last game after combining for 156 yards in the previous two games. Brown 1,164 yards 7 TD) ranks fourth in the league in receiving yards and only had totaled 45 yards in two games before 114 yards in the last one.

The Eagles’ offense will be facing a Dallas defense that ranks fourth in the league in points against (18.3 ppg), fifth against the pass, and 12th against the run.

Keep it Up at Home

The Cowboys look to remain undefeated at home in this huge game, as they have all six games in their house this season.

In the win over the Seahawks the Cowboys outgained them 411 yards to 406 yards, rushed for 136 yards, and forced the only turnover. Dak Prescott passed for 299 yards with three TD and no INT, Tony Pollard rushed for 68 yards and a TD, and CeeDee Lamb had 116 receiving yards and a score.

Dallas is the highest scoring team in the league averaging 32.3 ppg and ranks third in passing yards per game and 11th in rushing yards per game.

Prescott (3,234 yards 26 TD 6 INT) ranks second in the league in QBR, now has the second-best betting odds to win the MVP, and in the last six games has 20 TD and only two picks. Lamb (1,182 yards 7 TD) ranks second in the league in receiving yards and has at least 116 yards in five of the last seven games.

Prescott and company will be facing an Eagles’ defense that only ranks 24th in the league in points against (24 ppg), 29th against the pass, and fourth against the run.

Betting Trends

The Eagles are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.

The Eagles are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home.

The Eagles have an Under record of 4-1 in their last five road games.

The Cowboys are 6-1 in their last seven home games.

The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five games facing a team with a winning record.

The Cowboys have an Over record of 5-1 in their last six games.

OUR PICK – DALLAS -3 -120

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