Seattle Seahawks vs. Dallas Cowboys – Week 13 NFL Pick

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seahawks vs. cowboys pick
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The Dallas Cowboys look to keep their winning streak alive in a Thursday night primetime NFC clash hosting the Seattle Seahawks.

The oddsmakers have America’s Team as a big 9-point favorite in this game with a total of 46.5. The public has really backed the Cowboys in this game, so far, as they opened as a 7.5-point favorite and are a 9-point favorite as of Tuesday.

The Seahawks fell to 6-5 losing their second in a row in their last game in a bad 31-13 home loss to the San Francisco 49ers. Seattle failed to cover as a 7-point underdog and they have not covered the spread in four of their last five games.

The 8-3 Cowboys won their third in a row in their last game in a 45-10 home beatdown over the Washington Commanders. They covered the spread as a 13.5-point favorite and they have covered in five of their last six games including their last three.

On the season the Seahawks are 4-6-1 ATS with an O/U record of 5-6 and the Cowboys are 8-3 ATS with an O/U record of 7-4.

The Cowboys are a perfect 5-0 at home this season while the Seahawks are 2-3 on the road.

Bad Start in Bad Loss

In the 31-13 Thanksgiving loss to the 49ers the Seahawks were outscored 24-3 in the first half. They were outgained 377 yards to 220 yards, committed two turnovers and forced one, and gave up 169 rushing yards.

In the loss to San Fran Geno Smith passed for 180 yards with no TD and a pick, Zach Charbonnet led the way with only 47 rushing yards, and three players had at least 30 receiving yards.

On the season Seattle ranks tied for 18th in scoring (20.8 ppg), 17th in passing yards per game, and 26th in rushing yards per game.

Smith (2,584 yards 12 TD 8 INT) only ranks 20th in the league in QBR and has been sacked 13 times in the last four games with six coming in the last one. Kenneth Walker III (613 yards 6 TD) leads Seattle in rushing yards and missed the last game and is questionable to face the Cowboys.

The Seahawks will be facing a Dallas defense that ranks fourth in the league in points against (16.8 ppg), second in pass defense, and 13th in run defense.

Good Turkey Day

The Cowboys were at home on Thanksgiving in their last game where they dominated the Commanders in a 45-10 win where they held Washington scoreless in the second half and scored 25 points in the fourth quarter. They forced the games only turnover, outgained the Commanders 431 yards to 376 yards, and were 3-3 in the Red Zone.

In the Washington win Dak Prescott had a big game passing for 331 yards with four TD and no INT, Tony Pollard had 79 rushing yards, and seven players had at least 24 receiving yards.

On the season the Cowboys are the highest scoring team in the NFL averaging 31.5 ppg and rank fourth in passing yards per game and 13th in rushing yards per game.

Prescott (2,935 yards 23 TD 6 TD) ranks second in the league in QBR, is starting to get MVP buzz, and over the last three games has 10 TD and one INT. CeeDee Lamb (1,066 yards 6 TD) has the third most receiving yards in the NFL but has not gone big in the last two games after three games with at least 151 yards.

Dallas CB Daron Bland leads the NFL in INT (7) and made history in the last game with his fifth pick-6 of the season.

Prescott and company will be facing a Seahawks defense that ranks 22nd in the NFL in points against (22.6 ppg), 22nd in pass defense, and 21st in run defense.

Betting Trends

The Seahawks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.

The Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog.

The Seahawks have an Under record of 4-0 in their last four road games.

The Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games.

The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.

The Cowboys have an Over record of 4-1 in their last five games.

 

 OUR PICK – UNDER 47.5