NFL Playoffs Divisional Round Model Predictions

Below you’ll find the score predictions from our model for the divisional round of the NFL playoffs. You’ll see that there are 3 sets of score predictions for each game. One uses full season data, one uses data from the last 4 games and the last prediction uses data from the last 7 games.

This time of year, we’d suggest weighing the last prediction the strongest. It’s only looking at the more recent games which shows a teams current form.

One word of caution however. The model does NOT factor in 50 MPH winds and -30 below wind chill factors!

 1st score using full season data
 2nd score using last 4 games data
 3rd score using last 7 games data
  
   
  
Houston                   45.0          14           
Baltimore                 -9.0          29
  
Houston                   45.0          17           
Baltimore                 -9.0          25
  
Houston                   45.0          12           
Baltimore                 -9.0          35
  
  
  
Green Bay                 50.5          18           
San Francisco            -10.0          26
  
Green Bay                 50.5          31           
San Francisco            -10.0          17
  
Green Bay                 50.5          26           
San Francisco            -10.0          28
  
  
  
Tampa Bay                 48.5          19           
Detroit                   -6.0          25
  
Tampa Bay                 48.5          11           
Detroit                   -6.0          16
  
Tampa Bay                 48.5          19           
Detroit                   -6.0          23
  
  
  
Kansas City               46.5          19           
Buffalo                   -2.5          18
  
Kansas City               46.5          17           
Buffalo                   -2.5          13
  
Kansas City               46.5          17           
Buffalo                   -2.5          20