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Oklahoma

vs.

Texas Tech

10/6/12

Oklahoma hits the road this week looking to bounce back from a loss as they take on Texas Tech in Lubbock. Oklahoma opened as a -4 point favorite at 5 Dimes and has since been bet up to -5.5. 79% of the early action at sportsbook.ag has come in on the Sooners.

The Sooners got an extra week to take in their home loss against Kansas State. After beating the Wildcats by 41 points last year, it was supposed to be an easy game as 15-point favorites. Instead Oklahoma lost on a national stage 24-19. Texas Tech can't quite say the same thing as they come into this game 4-0 after winning at Iowa State last weekend.

Because of that game, the Red Raiders are now ranked No. 24 in the Coaches poll while Oklahoma is just 10 spots ahead at No. 14. In last year's game, Texas Tech played spoiler beating the Sooners as 29-point underdogs in Norman, 41-38. At the time, Oklahoma was No. 3 in the nation and had their eyes on the National Championship game.

Many of the players from last year's teams are still intact including QBs Landry Jones and Seth Doege. Last year, each QB threw for over 400 yards and had five and four TDs, respectively. It wouldn't be surprising for that to happen again.

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Doege has been dominant for the Red Raiders this season completing just over 71 percent of his passes for 1,189 yards and 15 TDs. In his second season as the starting QB, he has improved greatly in his efficiency. With that, he has spread the ball around across the offense having six different receivers with between 12 and 17 catches. The running game is in the same line, with three running backs that have at least 34 carries. Kenny Williams leads the way with 49 totes and 321 yards, but he gets spelled often by Eric Stephens Jr. The hardest competition the Red Raiders have faced so far was Iowa State last weekend, so they haven't faced a defense or offense of Oklahoma's caliber yet.

Senior quarterback Landry Jones leads the way for the Sooners. He hasn't had the best of starts to the season. In three games, Jones has 773 yards, five TDs and two interceptions. Not overwhelming. Their ground game will be needed to keep Doege and company off the field. That's something Oklahoma couldn't do against Kansas State as they finished as a team with 27 carries for 88 yards. Damien Williams and Dominique Whaley will lead the way as they each have 30 rushes on the year. Williams has five TDs compared to just one for Whaley. Kenny Still is the main focus on the receiving end. He has 301 yards on 22 receptions so far and will get plenty of attention from the Red Raiders.

It's incredibly difficult to get a handle on these two teams based on who they have played thus far. For Texas Tech, you have to toss Northwestern State, Texas State and New Mexico. So, you're basically judging them based on a 24-13 win over Iowa State. It doesn't get any easier for Oklahoma. You have to toss Florida AM. You're then left with an unimpressive win over UTEP and a home loss to Kansas State.

But what we do know about these programs, is that they have each had their share of wins against each other. In some cases, it's been close wins. Both have had their share of wins by 10 points or less. They have each also blown the other off the field, such as Oklahoma's 45-7 win in 2010 or Tech's 41-13 win in 2009. That in and of itself is out of whack, as rarely will you see such a wild fluctuation in the results. Sure, one team may pound the other year after year in a series. But to alternate blow out wins the way these two have, mixed in with the close games, is out of the ordinary in college football.

Texas Tech had won 5 games since 1992 against Oklahoma, coming into last years game. In all 5 of those losses, Oklahoma got their revenge the following year and sometimes, by a large margin. Last year made  win #6 since 1992 for Tech in this series. Can Oklahoma make it 6 for 6 with revenge? We think so. Oklahoma -5

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