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Oregon State

vs.

UCLA

9/22/12

UCLA hosts Oregon State this week. The game kicks off at 3:30 pm est. and UCLA is currently favored by -8 at Betonline, down from an opener of -12 at some books The total is currently 53.5. Be sure to stay up to date with our live odds feed which you can utilize to make sure you get the best numbers on the games you're going to bet. Very important!!

UCLA is off to their best start since 2009. Their offense is finally coming around, getting compared to other Pac 12 teams such as Oregon and USC. In their toughest task of the season, the Bruins carved through the Nebraska defense for 36 points. Last week they dominated Houston 37-6. At the moment, their passing and rushing game are clicking.

As for Oregon State, they have played just one game due to one getting postponed and an early bye week. In their first game they beat a disappointing Wisconsin team 10-7. It will be hard to measure the Beavers from that game as the Badgers haven't looked too great this season.

In last year's game, UCLA won 27-19 in Oregon. The Beavers outgained them in total yardage, but the Bruins had a 211-88 yard advantage on the ground.

With Jim Mora at the helm, UCLA has looked like a revived team ready to make a mark come bowl season. Freshman QB Brett Hundley has taken the starting gig in stride, already throwing for 827 yards and eight TDs through three games. The main reason he has been able to do this is because of running back Johnathan Franklin, who is quietly becoming a Heisman candidate. Franklin already has 541 yards and three TDs on just 66 carries. That's 8.2 yards per carry. Running back Steven Manfro is a big yards after the catch player and he's doing just that leading the team with 14 grabs for 164 yards. Tight end Joseph Fauria is one of Hundley's favorite targets in pressure situations and will get the call when needed against the Beavers. Fauria leads the receivers with three TDs.

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Things may not come so easy against the Beavers though. This is a defense that held Wisconsin to 35 total rushing yards and seven points. However, it is unlikely they can do the same at UCLA which is why Oregon State will have to score points.

On the offensive end, Sean Mannion looked good against the Badgers tossing for 276 yards and the game's only TD. He did not have an interception and will have to make sure he doesn't have too many against UCLA if they want to stay close. The Bruins picked off Houston's QB five times last week if that says anything about what they can do. Young running backs, Malcolm Agnew and Storm Woods split the load against Wisconsin and totaled for 81 yards.

In last year's game between these teams, Mannion threw for 287 yards and a TD. This is a UCLA team that is much better than a season ago when they managed to score 27 points at Corvallis. This game is at the Rose Bowl with a crowd that has life once again.

Despite being underdogs the past two years, the Bruins pulled the upset against the Beavers in both games. In fact, UCLA is 8-1 ATS in their past nine meetings. Those are some ugly numbers for Oregon State and UCLA has not lost against the spread yet this year and are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. The under has also hit four straight times in this match up.

The feeling here is that UCLA has a huge advantage as a result of playing three games already. The most significant improvement with college football teams can be seen during the first 3 or 4 games of the season. Teams become well oiled machines as seasons progress. UCLA's first game was August 30th. Now, consider this. Oregon State has their 1srt game cancelled on September 1st. They didn't get to play their 1st game until September 8th. After that, they had a bye week!

A team can practice until the cows come home. There is no substitution for live game experience. In that department, UCLA is way ahead of Oregon State. UCLA is a veteran team, which we already know is good enough to beat the Beavers based on the last two times they have played. We think the disadvantage of having only played one game will be evident here. If we're right, then the 1st half is when it will really show. So we're going to  make two plays here. UCLA in the first half (no line posted yet but would lay up to -6) and UCLA -8 for the game.
 

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