Wake Forest
vs.
Indiana Hoosiers
College Football Pick
By Jason Green
9/24/16
The ACC and the Big 10 clash this Saturday in the Hoosier State with Indiana hosting Wake Forest. Both of these teams have got off to solid starts and while Wake is the road underdog they have the most impressive win of the 2 teams so far upsetting Duke in a big Conference win for them.
Wake will be facing an Indiana team that has scored at least 30 points in each of their 2 Games and has a balanced offense.
The Demon Deacons did beat Delaware by 17 points in their last Game, but they failed to cover as a 24-point favorite. While Wake is only 1-2 ATS the one Game they did cover was when facing Duke as a 6.5-point underdog while they have failed to cover in the 2 Games they were double-digit favorites.
These teams met last season at Wake Forest where Indiana won by 7 and were favored by 7.
Indiana beat Ball State 30-20 in their last Game and they did not cover as 16.5-point favorites.
Indiana is coming off a bye week and in an interesting betting trend they are 0-4 in their last 4 Games after a bye week.
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The Demon Deacons have not had a winning season since 2008 and they have not started off 4-0 since 2005 when they made a trip to the Orange Bowl.
Wake is led by the ground attack with 3 players having at least 125 rushing yards led by Matt Colburn. One of those players is QB Kendall Hilton, who is injured and will not play in this Game. John Wolford has taken over under center and he was decent in the win over Delaware with 155 yards and a TD, but he was also picked off once. Wolford may air it out more in this Game facing a Hoosiers’ pass defense that only ranks 91st in the nation.
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Indiana’s balanced offense is led by the duo of QB Richard LAgow and RB Devine Redding. LAgow has passed for 506 yards with 4 TD and 0 INT and Devin has rushed for 245 yards and is averaging over 5 yards per carry. The WR corps the Hoosiers is pretty good, but also pretty thin with only 2 players that have over 60 receiving yards.
Wake’s defense ranks a solid 12th in the nation against the run and 19th against the pass and with the teams they have faced this will be their biggest test so far on that side of the ball.
While Wake Forest has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 road Games they have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 non-Conference Games.
The Hoosiers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Games after a win and the Over record is 6-2 in their last 8 home Games.
Jason’s Pick: Sorry, not buying into Wake so far and while they have played a tougher Schedule, not by much, the Hoosiers will play well in front of their fans and win and cover the 7.5-point spread.