-Nate Marquardt vs. Thales Leites
ODDS : Marquardt -170
After being completely decimated by Anderson Silva (who hasn't
been though) , Nate Marquardt got himself back on the winning
track by submitting Jeremy Horn at UFC 81. Marquardt finds
himself taking on the 12-1 submission fighter Thales Leites.
Both fighters have won the majority of their fights by
submission, but Marquardt brings a lot more experience into the
octagon. Marquardt is tough and resilient and I think he will
overwhelm Thales, much like Martin Kampmann did.
Nate Marquardt – UD
Main Event: Welterweights
-Matt Hughes vs. Thiago Alves
After losing by TKO to GSP, I am surprised Matt Hughes took a
fight with another powerful striker. When GSP annihilated Hughes
for the second time, he showed the whole world the blue print on
how to beat Matt Hughes; stand up with him. When Hughes
realized he was getting destroyed on the feet, he went for the
takedowns and was repeatedly denied by GSP. Hughes boxing and
kickboxing skills are severely limited, and that forces him to
rely on his wrestling and ground and pound.
If Thiago Alves were smart, he would be training his takedown
defense every day, while working on honing his stand up skills.
Alves has some serious power, and is coming off of a KO victory
over Karo Paryisan, a guy who is really hard to knock out.
In my mind, this fight comes down to an X-Factor – Thiago Alves'
takedown defense. If he can deny Hughes' wrestling, he can win
this fight. If he can't neutralize Hughes' wrestling, then we
will see a typical Matt Hughes victory: takedown > ground and
pound > stoppage.
Still, I have to think that the young, powerful Thiago Alves is
the newer generation of mixed martial artists that know how to
adapt to their opponents strengths. ATT probably has a solid
game plan for Alves and I think Alves will be able to knock Matt
Prediction: Thiago Alves – KO/TKO – Round 3
Larry Vollmer Jr. is a mixed martial arts blogger for the
Journal News. Check out his blog at