Harvard vs. Princeton College Hoops Pick ATS – 2/25/22

87
harvard vs. princeton college basketball pick ats
$60 in actual member picks FREE from Docs Sports! - Complete with a PROFIT GUARANTEE! Click Here

Princeton will host Harvard tonight in Ivy League basketball action with the 19-5 overall Tigers chasing Yale for the top spot in the League. Princeton is 12-1 at home this year and is favored by -7.5 at betonline. The total is 142.

Below is the head to head matchup history followed by predictions from our model.

head-to-head history (lined games):
  
 2/21/2020  Princeton                60  + 7.5  at Harvard                  61
 2/ 1/2020  Harvard                  69  - 1.0  at Princeton                70
 3/ 2/2019  Princeton                58  + 6.5  at Harvard                  66
 2/15/2019  Harvard                  78  + 2.0  at Princeton                69
 2/23/2018  Harvard                  72  + 1.5  at Princeton                66
 2/ 9/2018  Princeton                51  + 2.0  at Harvard                  66
 3/ 3/2017  Harvard                  69  + 7.5  at Princeton                73
 2/ 4/2017  Princeton                57  - 2.0  at Harvard                  56
 3/ 4/2016  Princeton                71  - 7.0  at Harvard                  73
 2/ 5/2016  Harvard                  62  +10.0  at Princeton                83
 2/21/2015  Princeton                55  + 9.0  at Harvard                  63
 1/30/2015  Harvard                  75  - 4.5  at Princeton                72
 2/22/2014  Harvard                  59  - 2.5  at Princeton                47
 1/31/2014  Princeton                76  + 8.0  at Harvard                  82
 3/ 1/2013  Harvard                  53  + 6.0  at Princeton                58
 2/16/2013  Princeton                57  + 2.0  at Harvard                  69
 2/24/2012  Princeton                64  +10.5  at Harvard                  67
 2/11/2012  Harvard                  62  - 6.0  at Princeton                70
 3/12/2011  Princeton                63  + 2.5  vs Harvard                  62
 3/ 5/2011  Princeton                67  + 5.0  at Harvard                  79
 2/ 4/2011  Harvard                  61  + 2.0  at Princeton                65
 3/ 6/2010  Harvard                  51  + 2.5  at Princeton                54
 2/ 5/2010  Princeton                56  + 8.0  at Harvard                  53
 2/20/2009  Harvard                  55  + 5.0  at Princeton                58
 1/31/2009  Princeton                77  + 6.0  at Harvard                  71
 2/22/2008  Princeton                67  + 4.5  at Harvard                  74
 2/ 2/2008  Harvard                  54  + 1.5  at Princeton                68
 2/24/2007  Princeton                43  - 1.5  at Harvard                  50
 2/ 9/2007  Harvard                  68  +10.5  at Princeton                74
 2/25/2006  Harvard                  48  + 2.0  at Princeton                75
 2/10/2006  Princeton                60  + 7.5  at Harvard                  59
 3/ 4/2005  Harvard                  44  + 9.0  at Princeton                66
 2/ 5/2005  Princeton                57  - 6.0  at Harvard                  61
 3/ 5/2004  Princeton                60  -11.0  at Harvard                  51
 2/ 7/2004  Harvard                  50  +21.5  at Princeton                58
 2/22/2003  Princeton                67  - 3.0  at Harvard                  66
 1/31/2003  Harvard                  61  +10.5  at Princeton                67
 2/16/2002  Harvard                  59  + 9.5  at Princeton                70
 1/11/2002  Princeton                50  + 0.0  at Harvard                  48
 2/23/2001  Harvard                  48  + 8.0  at Princeton                62
 2/10/2001  Princeton                69  + 0.0  at Harvard                  67
  
   average outcome:
     Harvard                 62.0  Princeton               63.7
     margin =   1.66
  
   time-weighted average outcome:
     Harvard                 67.2  Princeton               64.4
     margin =  -2.79
  
   average result when the home team is Princeton              
     Harvard                 59.9  Princeton               66.3
     margin =   6.35
  
   average result when the home team is Harvard                
     Princeton               61.1  Harvard                 64.1
     margin =   3.00
  
    43.59 % of games went Over
    47.37 % went Over at Princeton              
    (since        2002 )
  
   average total points per game = 125.66
   time-weighted average total   = 131.59
  
   the home team covered  55.00 % of the time
   the road team covered  45.00 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential =  1.06
  
   the favorite  covered  35.90 % of the time
   the underdog  covered  64.10 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential = -0.99
  
   the favorite won SU    71.79 % of the time
  
   Harvard                 covered  48.78 % of the time
   Princeton               covered  51.22 % of the time
  
   Princeton               covered  55.00 % of the time at home
   Princeton               covered  50.00 % of the time as home favorites
last 8 results: 
  
    2/19  Princeton                81  at  Yale                     75    OV 146.5
    2/18  Princeton                69  at  Brown                    50    UN 144.0
    2/12  Dartmouth                40  at  Princeton                85    UN 140.5
    2/ 5  Princeton                85  at  Columbia                 63    UN 154.0
    2/ 4  Princeton                83  at  Cornell                  88    OV 157.5
    1/29  Yale                     80  at  Princeton                74    OV 149.0
    1/22  Princeton                84  at  Dartmouth                80    OV 133.5
    1/17  Pennsylvania             64  at  Princeton                74    UN 146.5
  
   ***
  
    2/19  Cornell                  72  at  Harvard                  77    OV 147.5
    2/18  Columbia                 54  at  Harvard                  62    UN 145.5
    2/12  Harvard                  74  at  Pennsylvania             82    OV 140.5
    2/ 9  Yale                     62  at  Harvard                  59    UN 140.5
    2/ 5  Harvard                  55  at  Yale                     58    UN 142.5
    2/ 4  Harvard                  65  at  Brown                    50    UN 140.0
    1/28  Pennsylvania             78  at  Harvard                  74    OV 140.0
    1/22  Harvard                  61  at  Cornell                  76    UN 154.0

 

OUR MODEL

Harvard                  142.5          62           
Princeton                 -7.5          80 Full season data
  
Harvard                  142.5          46           
Princeton                 -7.5          86 Last 4 games data
  
Harvard                  142.5          63           
Princeton                 -7.5          72 Last 7 games data

 

This time of year, as we head towards the conference tournaments and March Madness, the most important score prediction of our model’s results would be the one using data from the last 7 games.

The full season data could have results baked into the prediction that aren’t relevant right now. Injuries, team chemistry, etc. The prediction using 4 games worth of data can be useful however 4 games is the bare minimum when using statistics to handicap a basketball game.

The 7 game prediction is ideal. It’s a large enough sample size to iron out a one game fluke and it really gives you a good indication of a teams current form which is crucial this time of year.

We like Princeton here. They have 3 games remaining with tonight and tomorrow being against Harvard before they closeout the year at Penn. They’re coming off a road win over 1st place Yale and we expect that winning to continue as they make their final push and head towards tournament play.

Princeton -7.5