Miami
vs.
Georgia Tech
ACC
College Football
Free Pick
10/4/14
Georgia Tech will host Miami Florida on Saturday evening in a Game that kicks off at 7:30pm est. and can be seen on ESPN2. Georgia Tech opened as a -1.5 point favorite at 5 dimes sportsbook and that line has now moved to pick em. The betting action in this matchup has been fairly balanced as well. The current total is 56.5.
This is a series that Miami has owned recently, winning 5 straight and in those 5 wins all but one were decided by large margins. Anytime you have that kind of dominance over that length of time, you have to consider that the team dominating is simply recruiting the superior talent year after year. Not a stretch, considering it’s Miami but what might negate that argument a bit is the fact that prior to the 5 Game winning streak, Georgia Tech had won 4 straight.
Georgia Tech comes in undefeated at 4-0 with the biggest win coming against Virginia Tech while Miami is 3-2 with losses to Louisville and Nebraska. Their best win came last week against Duke. Georgia Tech was off last week.
Georgia Tech comes in with slightly better yards per point numbers on both sides of the ball here but we have to take into account Schedule strength which favors the Hurricanes. Our model does in fact take Schedule strength into account and it has this Game as close as can be with Miami on top by 1 in a Game that lands close to the posted total in terms of points scored.
With no statistical edge we can sink are teeth into here, we’re left with using intangibles in an attempt to pick a winner here. The numbers we like to use all suggest this Game is close. With that in mind, it looks as though this might be the best opportunity in several years for Georgia Tech to end the recent series dominance by the Hurricanes. With that as a motivating factor along with playing at home in a nationally televised Game, we’re going to lean with Georgia Tech to get the win here and stay undefeated. Georgia Tech pk