Arizona State at Washington PAC 12 Football Pick – 11/13/21

Washington will host Arizona State in PAC-12 college football action on Saturday in a  game that kicks off at 7 PM EST. The Huskies opened as 4 point road favorites and have been bet up to as high as 6 in spots. The total is 45.5.

Arizona State is 6-3 overall and 4-2 in conference play, which put them in 2nd place. Washington is 4-5 overall and 3-3 in conference play. The Huskies need to win 2 of their last 3 games in order to qualify for a bowl game.

Head to Head – Arizona St – Washington

9/22/2018  Arizona State            20  +18.0  at Washington               27
10/14/2017  Washington                7  -18.0  at Arizona State            13
11/19/2016  Arizona State            18  +27.5  at Washington               44
11/14/2015  Washington               17  + 2.5  at Arizona State            27
10/25/2014  Arizona State            24  - 3.5  at Washington               10
10/19/2013  Washington               24  + 3.5  at Arizona State            53
10/ 9/2010  Arizona State            24  + 1.5  at Washington               14
10/17/2009  Washington               17  + 6.5  at Arizona State            24
11/ 8/2008  Arizona State            39  -14.5  at Washington               19
10/13/2007  Washington               20  + 9.5  at Arizona State            44
10/28/2006  Arizona State            26  - 1.5  at Washington               23
10/29/2005  Washington               20  +17.0  at Arizona State            44
10/26/2002  Washington               16  + 3.5  at Arizona State            27
10/27/2001  Washington               33  + 2.0  at Arizona State            31
10/14/2000  Washington               21  - 5.5  at Arizona State            15
10/16/1999  Arizona State            28  + 9.5  at Washington                7
 9/ 5/1998  Washington               42  + 5.5  at Arizona State            38
10/ 4/1997  Arizona State            14  +15.0  at Washington               26
 9/ 7/1996  Washington               42  + 3.0  at Arizona State            45
 9/ 2/1995  Arizona State            20  +12.0  at Washington               23
10/15/1994  Arizona State            14  +15.5  at Washington               35
10/30/1993  Washington               17  - 9.5  at Arizona State            32
 9/ 5/1992  Washington               31  -22.0  at Arizona State             7
11/ 2/1991  Arizona State            16  +29.0  at Washington               44
10/ 6/1990  Washington               42  - 7.5  at Arizona State            14
  
   average outcome:
     Arizona State           26.3  Washington              24.8
     margin =  -1.44
  
   time-weighted average outcome:
     Arizona State           22.3  Washington              22.4
     margin =   0.07
  
   average result when the home team is Washington             
     Arizona State           22.1  Washington              24.7
     margin =   2.64
  
   average result when the home team is Arizona State          
     Washington              24.9  Arizona State           29.6
     margin =   4.64
  
    36.84 % of games went Over
    12.50 % went Over at Washington             
    (since        1995 )
  
   average total points per game =  51.12
   time-weighted average total   =  44.65
  
   the home team covered  37.50 % of the time
   the road team covered  62.50 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential = -0.21
  
   the favorite  covered  54.17 % of the time
   the underdog  covered  45.83 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential = -0.88
  
   the favorite won SU    76.00 % of the time
  
   Arizona State           covered  75.00 % of the time
   Washington              covered  25.00 % of the time
  
   Washington              covered   9.09 % of the time at home
   Washington              covered   0.00 % of the time as home underdogs

Here are 3 score predictions from our model. The 1st score uses season to date data. The 2nd score uses data from the last 4 games and the 3rd score uses data from the last 7 games.

Arizona State             -6.0          18           
Washington                44.0          18
  
Arizona State             -6.0          17           
Washington                44.0          19
  
Arizona State             -6.0          19           
Washington                44.0          21