Wake Forest will host NC State in a huge ACC Atlantic game on Saturday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 PM EST. Wake Forest opened as a -3 point favorite and has been bet down to -2, 1.5 in spots. The current posted total is 66.5.
Wake Forest is 8-1 overall and 5-0 in conference play. The Demon Deacons suffered their only loss of the season last week at the hands of North Carolina, 58-55.
NC State comes into this game at 7-2 overall and 4-1 in conference play. Their losses came to Miami by 1 and to Miss State earlier in the season.
NC State – Wake Forest Head to Head
11/ 2/2019 North Carolina State 10 + 8.0 at Wake Forest 44
11/ 8/2018 Wake Forest 27 +19.0 at North Carolina State 23
11/18/2017 North Carolina State 24 + 2.5 at Wake Forest 30
10/ 1/2016 Wake Forest 16 +14.0 at North Carolina State 33
10/24/2015 North Carolina State 35 - 9.0 at Wake Forest 17
11/15/2014 Wake Forest 13 +16.5 at North Carolina State 42
10/ 5/2013 North Carolina State 13 - 7.5 at Wake Forest 28
11/10/2012 Wake Forest 6 + 8.0 at North Carolina State 37
9/10/2011 North Carolina State 27 - 1.5 at Wake Forest 34
11/13/2010 Wake Forest 3 +18.5 at North Carolina State 38
10/ 3/2009 North Carolina State 24 + 3.0 at Wake Forest 30
11/15/2008 Wake Forest 17 - 3.5 at North Carolina State 21
11/17/2007 North Carolina State 18 + 6.5 at Wake Forest 38
10/14/2006 Wake Forest 25 + 3.0 at North Carolina State 23
10/22/2005 North Carolina State 19 - 2.0 at Wake Forest 27
10/ 2/2004 Wake Forest 21 + 8.5 at North Carolina State 27
9/ 6/2003 North Carolina State 24 - 8.5 at Wake Forest 38
9/14/2002 Wake Forest 13 +14.5 at North Carolina State 32
10/ 6/2001 North Carolina State 17 - 3.5 at Wake Forest 14
11/25/2000 Wake Forest 14 +17.5 at North Carolina State 32
9/25/1999 North Carolina State 7 - 6.5 at Wake Forest 31
11/ 7/1998 Wake Forest 27 +14.0 at North Carolina State 38
9/25/1997 North Carolina State 18 - 4.5 at Wake Forest 19
11/23/1996 Wake Forest 22 +14.0 at North Carolina State 37
11/18/1995 North Carolina State 52 - 6.0 at Wake Forest 23
10/15/1994 Wake Forest 3 +26.5 at North Carolina State 34
9/11/1993 North Carolina State 34 -11.0 at Wake Forest 16
11/21/1992 Wake Forest 14 + 9.5 at North Carolina State 42
9/21/1991 North Carolina State 30 -13.0 at Wake Forest 3
9/15/1990 Wake Forest 15 +14.0 at North Carolina State 20
average outcome:
North Carolina State 28.3 Wake Forest 21.6
margin = -6.65
time-weighted average outcome:
North Carolina State 28.5 Wake Forest 29.5
margin = 1.00
average result when the home team is Wake Forest
North Carolina State 23.5 Wake Forest 26.1
margin = 2.67
average result when the home team is North Carolina State
Wake Forest 17.4 North Carolina State 32.8
margin = 15.38
45.45 % of games went Over
45.45 % went Over at Wake Forest
(since 1997 )
average total points per game = 49.87
time-weighted average total = 58.01
the home team covered 70.97 % of the time
the road team covered 29.03 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = 4.73
the favorite covered 54.84 % of the time
the underdog covered 45.16 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = 0.92
the favorite won SU 67.74 % of the time
North Carolina State covered 48.39 % of the time
Wake Forest covered 51.61 % of the time
Wake Forest covered 73.33 % of the time at home
Wake Forest covered 100.00 % of the time as home favorites
Here are 3 score predictions from our model. The 1st score uses season to date data. The 2nd score uses data from the last 4 games and the 3rd score uses data from the last 7 games.
North Carolina State 66.5 29 Wake Forest -2.0 24 North Carolina State 66.5 45 Wake Forest -2.0 36 North Carolina State 66.5 34 Wake Forest -2.0 30
As you can see, the model predicts an upset and agrees with the line move on this game and we agree.