Cal at Oregon PAC-12 College Football Pick ATS – 10/15/21

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Oregon will host California in PAC-12 action on Friday night in a game that kicks off at 10:30 pm EST. The Ducks opened up as a 15 point favorite but early Cal money has brought that number down to 13.5 as of Monday morning. The total is 55.5.

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The Oregon Ducks caught everyone’s attention by knocking off Ohio State on the road early in the season. Since that game they’ve had two easy games and then took on Stanford two weeks ago, losing in OT, 31-24.

Cal sits at 1-4. Their lone win came against Sacramento State by a score of 42-30. If you’re looking for a silver lining with these Bears it would be the fact that they were competitive in all of their losses. All but one of those losses was a 1 score game.

Head to Head History

head-to-head history (lined games):
  
12/ 5/2020  Oregon                   17  - 9.0  at California               21
10/ 5/2019  California                7  +20.5  at Oregon                   17
 9/29/2018  Oregon                   42  - 2.0  at California               24
 9/30/2017  California               24  +15.5  at Oregon                   45
10/21/2016  Oregon                   49  + 1.0  at California               52
11/ 7/2015  California               28  + 3.5  at Oregon                   44
10/24/2014  Oregon                   59  -17.5  at California               41
 9/28/2013  California               16  +37.0  at Oregon                   55
11/10/2012  Oregon                   59  -28.5  at California               17
10/ 6/2011  California               15  +24.0  at Oregon                   43
11/13/2010  Oregon                   15  -19.5  at California               13
 9/26/2009  California                3  - 5.5  at Oregon                   42
11/ 1/2008  Oregon                   16  + 3.0  at California               26
 9/29/2007  California               31  + 4.5  at Oregon                   24
10/ 7/2006  Oregon                   24  + 3.0  at California               45
11/ 5/2005  California               20  - 1.5  at Oregon                   27
11/ 6/2004  Oregon                   27  +20.0  at California               28
11/ 8/2003  California               17  + 1.0  at Oregon                   21
10/13/2001  Oregon                   48  -13.0  at California                7
11/11/2000  California               17  +13.5  at Oregon                   25
11/13/1999  Oregon                   24  - 7.0  at California               19
11/16/1996  California               23  + 2.0  at Oregon                   40
10/14/1995  Oregon                   52  - 4.5  at California               30
10/15/1994  California                7  + 2.5  at Oregon                   23
10/ 2/1993  Oregon                   41  +11.5  at California               42
11/ 7/1992  California               17  - 4.0  at Oregon                   37
10/12/1991  Oregon                    7  +10.5  at California               45
11/10/1990  Oregon                    3  - 6.0  at California               28

Our model has a predicted final score of Oregon 35 Cal 14. So, a slight edge to Oregon -13.5 as well as under the total of 55.5.