Florida vs. Georgia Free SEC CFB Pick ATS – 10/30/21

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georgia vs. florida cfb pick ats
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The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party takes place on Saturday at 3:30 PM EST when Florida and Georgia meet. The Bulldogs are a -14 point favorite with a current posted total of 51.

Georgia comes into this game undefeated at 7-0 and 5-0 in conference play. They are the #1 ranked team in the nation and are currently a little better than even money to win the National Championship.

The Gators come in at 4-3 overall and just 2-3 in conference play. They’ve dropped two of their last three games, to LSU and Kentucky, after a promising start to the season that saw them almost upset Alabama.

Regardless of the records when these two play, it’s always a huge game that generates plenty of interest from both bettors and fans.

Head to Head History – Georgia – Florida

11/ 7/2020  Georgia                  28  - 3.0  vs Florida                  44
11/ 2/2019  Georgia                  24  - 6.5  [email protected] Florida                  17
10/27/2018  Georgia                  36  - 6.5  [email protected] Florida                  17
10/28/2017  Georgia                  42  -13.5  [email protected] Florida                   7
10/29/2016  Georgia                  10  + 7.5  [email protected] Florida                  24
10/31/2015  Georgia                   3  + 2.0  [email protected] Florida                  27
11/ 1/2014  Georgia                  20  -11.0  [email protected] Florida                  38
11/ 2/2013  Georgia                  23  - 2.5  [email protected] Florida                  20
10/27/2012  Georgia                  17  + 6.5  [email protected] Florida                   9
10/29/2011  Georgia                  24  - 2.5  [email protected] Florida                  20
10/30/2010  Georgia                  31  - 2.0  [email protected] Florida                  34
10/31/2009  Georgia                  17  +14.5  [email protected] Florida                  41
11/ 1/2008  Georgia                  10  + 7.5  [email protected] Florida                  49
10/27/2007  Georgia                  42  + 9.0  [email protected] Florida                  30
10/28/2006  Georgia                  14  +13.5  [email protected] Florida                  21
10/29/2005  Georgia                  10  + 5.5  [email protected] Florida                  14
10/30/2004  Georgia                  31  - 6.5  [email protected] Florida                  24
11/ 1/2003  Georgia                  13  - 3.5  [email protected] Florida                  16
11/ 2/2002  Georgia                  13  - 2.5  [email protected] Florida                  20
10/27/2001  Georgia                  10  +19.5  [email protected] Florida                  24
10/28/2000  Georgia                  23  + 8.5  [email protected] Florida                  34
10/30/1999  Georgia                  14  +14.0  [email protected] Florida                  30
10/31/1998  Georgia                   7  +11.5  [email protected] Florida                  38
11/ 1/1997  Georgia                  37  +18.5  [email protected] Florida                  17
11/ 2/1996  Georgia                   7  +34.0  [email protected] Florida                  47
10/28/1995  Florida                  52  -19.0  at Georgia                  17
10/29/1994  Georgia                  14  +22.0  at Florida                  52
10/30/1993  Georgia                  26  +10.0  [email protected] Florida                  33
10/31/1992  Georgia                  24  - 6.0  [email protected] Florida                  26
11/ 9/1991  Georgia                  13  +12.0  [email protected] Florida                  45
11/10/1990  Georgia                   7  +18.0  [email protected] Florida                  38
  
   average outcome:
     Georgia                 19.6  Florida                 29.3
     margin =   9.71
  
   time-weighted average outcome:
     Georgia                 24.9  Florida                 24.5
     margin =  -0.40
  
   average result when the home team is Florida                
     Georgia                 14.0  Florida                 52.0
     margin =  38.00
  
   average result when the home team is Georgia                
     Florida                 52.0  Georgia                 17.0
     margin = -35.00
  
    50.00 % of games went Over
    (since        1997 )
  
   average total points per game =  48.87
   time-weighted average total   =  49.32
  
   the home team covered  53.33 % of the time
   the road team covered  46.67 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential =  2.73
  
   the favorite  covered  58.06 % of the time
   the underdog  covered  41.94 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential =  1.10
  
   the favorite won SU    70.97 % of the time
  
   Georgia                 covered  41.94 % of the time
   Florida                 covered  58.06 % of the time
  
   Florida                 covered 100.00 % of the time at home

 

Here’s how our model sees this game. Their are two scores, the first using full season data and the 2nd using only the last 4 games. In both runs, the model says lay the points with the Bulldogs!

Georgia                  -14.0          27   semi-N  
Florida                   51            10
  
Georgia                  -14.0          34   semi-N  
Florida                   51             8