UCLA will host Fresno State tonight in a game that kicks off at 1045 PM EST. and can be seen on the PAC-12 Network. The Bruins are favored by 11 with a total of 63.
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The most recent meeting between these two teams was in 2018, a game in which Fresno State handles UCLA easily, 38-14.
Head to Head History
head-to-head history (lined games):
9/15/2018 Fresno State 38 - 2.5 at UCLA 14
9/27/2008 Fresno State 36 - 6.5 at UCLA 31
12/30/2003 UCLA 9 - 4.0 vs Fresno State 17
9/ 9/2000 Fresno State 21 +14.5 at UCLA 24
9/18/1999 Fresno State 21 +21.0 at UCLA 35
9/30/1995 Fresno State 21 +11.0 at UCLA 45
average outcome:
Fresno State 25.7 UCLA 26.3
margin = 0.67
time-weighted average outcome:
Fresno State 37.0 UCLA 15.0
margin = -22.03
average result when the home team is UCLA
Fresno State 27.4 UCLA 29.8
margin = 2.40
75.00 % of games went Over
100.00 % went Over at UCLA
average total points per game = 52.00
time-weighted average total = 52.00
the home team covered 40.00 % of the time
the road team covered 60.00 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = -2.70
the favorite covered 33.33 % of the time
the underdog covered 66.67 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = 0.42
the favorite won SU 83.33 % of the time
Fresno State covered 66.67 % of the time
UCLA covered 33.33 % of the time
UCLA covered 40.00 % of the time at home
UCLA covered 33.33 % of the time as home favorites
Our Pick
Using a blend of date from last year and this year, our model has UCLA winning this game by 20+ points. However, while we’re hesitant to disagree with the model as the season progresses, we have no problem doing so in the early going.
Fresno figure to be a tough out for UCLA. The Bulldogs already went toe to toe with Oregon and we all saw what Oregon did on the road at Ohio State last week.
We especially think the early going in this game favor a Fresno State team playing it\s 4th game of the season.