Free Pick – Michigan State at Rutgers – College Football – 10/9/21

michigan state at rutgers pick
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Michigan State opened as a -4 point road favorite this week at Rutgers and the line has moved to -5 with early betting action. The current total is 50. Kickoff is scheduled for 12 noon EST and the game can be seen on the Big 10 Network.

Rutgers comes into this game at 3-2. They started the year 3-0 and then gave Michigan a battle on the road losing by just 7, 20-13. So expectations were high last week when Ohio State came knocking. Unfortunately for Rutgers, they were blown off the field by the Buckeyes.

Michigan State comes in undefeated. They struggled against Nebraska, needing OT to take down the Cornhuskers. Their other wins were comfortable, however the knock on the Spartans until they face first Michigan and then Ohio State is going to be schedule strength.

Head to Head History

10/24/2020  Rutgers                  38  +10.0  at Michigan State           27
11/23/2019  Michigan State           27  -21.0  at Rutgers                   0
11/24/2018  Rutgers                  10  +27.0  at Michigan State           14
11/25/2017  Michigan State           40  -13.5  at Rutgers                   7
11/12/2016  Rutgers                   0  +14.5  at Michigan State           49
10/10/2015  Michigan State           31  -13.5  at Rutgers                  24
11/22/2014  Rutgers                   3  +22.0  at Michigan State           45
 9/ 4/2004  Michigan State           14  - 9.5  at Rutgers                  19
 9/ 6/2003  Rutgers                  28  +20.0  at Michigan State           44
 9/28/1991  Rutgers                  14  +13.0  at Michigan State            7
 9/29/1990  Michigan State           34  -17.0  ~@ Rutgers                  10

Our Pick

As you can see from the past matchups listed above, Michigan State has held the upper hand in this series. But low and behold, in the crazy year that 2020 was, Rutgers beat the Spartans 38-27.

So this week we have a team looking for revenge from a loss last season playing against a team looking to bounce back from a humiliating home loss. That home loss came at a time when most thought Rutgers was going to make some noise this year.

We’d be surprised if Rutgers fell flat two weeks in a row at home. We look for this to be a tight game, likely decided late. Would obviously love to have +6 or better so watch the board.

Rutgers +5

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