Arizona State hosts Stanford in PAC-12 action on Friday night in what will be the 2nd game of an ESPN double header. The game kicks off at 10:30 PM EST with Arizona State currently favored by -11.5, up from an opener of -9. The total is 52.
Arizona State was pegged by many to be a contender this year. They come into this game at 4-1 with their only loss at the hands of undefeated BYU.
Stanford comes into the game at 3-2. They are fresh off of an OT upset win over #8 Oregon last week, 31-24.
Head to Head History
10/18/2018 Stanford 20 - 2.5 at Arizona State 13
9/30/2017 Arizona State 24 +17.0 at Stanford 34
10/18/2014 Stanford 10 - 3.5 at Arizona State 26
12/ 7/2013 Stanford 38 + 3.0 at Arizona State 14
9/21/2013 Arizona State 28 + 6.5 at Stanford 42
11/13/2010 Stanford 17 - 5.0 at Arizona State 13
10/24/2009 Arizona State 14 + 6.5 at Stanford 33
9/ 6/2008 Stanford 17 +13.5 at Arizona State 41
9/29/2007 Arizona State 41 -15.0 at Stanford 3
10/21/2006 Stanford 3 +23.5 at Arizona State 38
10/22/2005 Arizona State 35 - 9.5 at Stanford 45
11/ 6/2004 Stanford 31 +10.5 at Arizona State 34
11/ 8/2003 Arizona State 27 - 2.5 at Stanford 38
9/28/2002 Stanford 24 + 1.0 at Arizona State 65
9/22/2001 Arizona State 28 + 3.5 at Stanford 51
11/11/2000 Arizona State 7 + 2.5 at Stanford 29
11/13/1999 Stanford 50 + 3.0 at Arizona State 30
10/22/1998 Stanford 38 +15.5 at Arizona State 44
10/18/1997 Arizona State 31 + 1.5 at Stanford 14
10/26/1996 Arizona State 41 -14.5 at Stanford 9
10/ 7/1995 Stanford 30 - 3.0 at Arizona State 28
10/ 8/1994 Stanford 35 - 1.5 at Arizona State 36
10/23/1993 Arizona State 38 +10.5 at Stanford 30
average outcome:
Stanford 27.9 Arizona State 30.3
margin = 2.39
time-weighted average outcome:
Stanford 26.8 Arizona State 20.9
margin = -5.85
average result when the home team is Arizona State
Stanford 26.1 Arizona State 31.8
margin = 5.75
average result when the home team is Stanford
Arizona State 28.5 Stanford 29.8
margin = 1.27
52.63 % of games went Over
54.55 % went Over at Arizona State
(since 1995 )
average total points per game = 58.13
time-weighted average total = 47.70
the home team covered 56.52 % of the time
the road team covered 43.48 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = 0.96
the favorite covered 43.48 % of the time
the underdog covered 56.52 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = -0.09
the favorite won SU 65.22 % of the time
Stanford covered 47.83 % of the time
Arizona State covered 52.17 % of the time
Arizona State covered 58.33 % of the time at home
Arizona State covered 42.86 % of the time as home favorites
Our Pick
Both teams are looking good in conference play. Stanford, in the PAC-12 North division, sits at 2-1 and in 2nd place. Arizona State is 2-0 which places them in 1st in the PAC-12 South.
These teams haven’t met since 2018 but a quick look at their history shows us some competitive games with each team doing their fair share of winning.
Arizona State looks to be the better football team at this point. However, we’re not so sure they are 12 points better. This is a big game in terms of conference play and the Cardinal has shown it can compete.
We’ll take advantage of the line move (bonus points) and take Stanford in this spot as a live dog.