#1 Alabama will host #12 Ole Miss in an SEC game Saturday with obvious national implications. The Tide are currently favored by -14.5 with a total of 79.5. Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM EST and can be seen on CBS.
Alabama comes into this game undefeated at 4-0. Alabama survived a scare from Florida on September 18th, a game which the Tide won 31-29. Their other wins came against Miami, Mercer and Southern Miss.
Ole Miss comes into this one also undefeated at 3-0. But as is often the case this early in the season, untested. They beat Louisville, Austin Peay and Tulane, scoring 43+ points each time out.
Last 10 Games Between These Teams
10/10/2020 Alabama 63 -23.0 at Ole Miss 48 9/28/2019 Ole Miss 31 +38.0 at Alabama 59 9/15/2018 Alabama 62 -23.0 at Ole Miss 7 9/30/2017 Ole Miss 3 +28.0 at Alabama 66 9/17/2016 Alabama 48 -10.5 at Ole Miss 43 9/19/2015 Ole Miss 43 + 8.5 at Alabama 37 10/ 4/2014 Alabama 17 - 4.5 at Ole Miss 23 9/28/2013 Ole Miss 0 +14.0 at Alabama 25 9/29/2012 Ole Miss 14 +30.0 at Alabama 33 10/15/2011 Alabama 52 -27.5 at Ole Miss 7 10/16/2010 Ole Miss 10 +20.5 at Alabama 23
You don’t have to go back too far to find games in which Ole Miss had a shot. In fact, last years game was tied at 21 at the half, a game in which Alabama won 61-48. Alabama had over 700 yards of offense in that one but Ole Miss managed 647 of their own yards.
2014 thru 2016 also saw games decided by 6 points or less. So there’s no question that Ole Miss comes into this game feeling they can compete and score on the Tide which makes them a very live and dangerous dog in this spot.
This game actually opened at Alabama -20 at CIRCA in Vegas. Most of the rest of the books opened around -16.5 though Draft Kings did post -17.5.
The early bird gets the worm in sports betting. We agree with those early takers at +20 and +17.5. We actually think there may still be a little value left in the +14.5’s that are still available as we feel Ole Miss will put some points on the board.