Free Pick – Temple at Cincinnati – College Football – 10/8/21

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temple at cincinnati free cfb pick ats
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Cincinnati will host Temple under the Friday night lights in a game that kicks off at 7 PM EST and can be seen on ESPN. The Bearcats are a huge 29 point favorite with a total of 54.

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Cincinnati comes in undefeated at 4-0 and ranked 5th in the nation. They are fresh off perhaps the biggest win in school history, beating Notre Dame at South Bend, 24-13.

Temple comes into this game 3-2. They had a couple of shaky games against Rutgers and Boston College along with a couple of wins against weak opposition. But last week they beat a decent Memphis team, proving the Owls still have a pulse.

Recent History

11/23/2019  Temple                   13  +10.0  at Cincinnati               15
10/20/2018  Cincinnati               17  + 2.5  at Temple                   24
11/10/2017  Temple                   35  - 2.5  at Cincinnati               24
10/29/2016  Cincinnati               13  + 7.5  at Temple                   34
 9/12/2015  Temple                   34  + 6.5  at Cincinnati               26
11/29/2014  Cincinnati               14  - 6.5  at Temple                    6
10/11/2013  Temple                   20  +21.0  at Cincinnati               38
11/10/2012  Cincinnati               34  - 9.0  at Temple                   10
 9/20/2003  Temple                   24  +14.0  at Cincinnati               30
 9/28/2002  Cincinnati               35  - 7.0  at Temple                   22

When you look at the recent history you see several close games with each team winning their share. As recently as 2019 it was a 2 point game with the winner advancing to the AAC title game.

So how can Temple go from a 2 point loss to the Bearcats in 2019 to a 30 point underdog in 2021?

Well, much of it has to do with 2020. A couple of things happened after the 2019 season. One, Temple lost 4 players to the NFL. For a program like Temple, that’s rare.

The other thing that happened of course, was COVID. In Temple’s case, you really need to discard the 2020 season. They barely had enough players to field a team and never really practiced until a week before the season started.

Our Pick

If ever there was a text book case for a team to have a letdown, this would be it. Cincinnati is fresh off their monumental win at Notre Dame. Now they have to play on short rest against the lowly Temple Owls knowing full well they are expected to win in blow out fashion by 30+ points.

Their opponent on the other hand, is now playing in THEIR biggest game of the season with the chance to prove they aren’t a joke. Heck, they beat Memphis last week but are still getting zero respect from the oddsmakers.

The situation alone warrants a play on Temple. Actually, it warrants 3 plays, as follows.

Temple +7.5 1st quarter
Temple +17 1st half
Temple +29.5 for the game