Free Pick – Utah at Stanford – College Football – 11/5/21

195
utah at stanford free college football pick
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Utah travels to Stanford on Friday night to take on the Cardinal as -7 point road favorites. The game kicks off at 10:30 PM EST. The total for the game currently sits at 54.

Utah sits in first place on the PAC-12 South division. They are 5-3 overall and 4-1 in conference play. However, on the road this year, the Utes have struggled with a 1-3 record.

Stanford sits in the basement of the PAC-12 North. They are 3-5 overall and 2-4 in conference play. To salvage their season and make a bowl game, the Cardinal will have to win 3 of their last 4 games. After Utah, they get Oregon State, Cal and Notre Dame.

It’s looking very likely that Stanford will be home for the holidays this year!

Head to Head History Utah vs. Stanford

10/ 6/2018  Utah                     40  + 3.5  at Stanford                 21
10/ 7/2017  Stanford                 23  - 4.0  at Utah                     20
11/15/2014  Utah                     20  + 9.0  at Stanford                 17
10/12/2013  Stanford                 21  - 7.5  at Utah                     27
 9/ 7/1996  Utah                     17  + 6.5  at Stanford                 10
 9/ 9/1995  Stanford                 27  - 2.5  at Utah                     20
  
   average outcome:
     Utah                    24.0  Stanford                19.8
     margin =  -4.17
  
   time-weighted average outcome:
     Utah                    28.4  Stanford                21.0
     margin =  -7.47
  
   average result when the home team is Stanford               
     Utah                    25.7  Stanford                16.0
     margin =  -9.67
  
   average result when the home team is Utah                   
     Stanford                23.7  Utah                    22.3
     margin =  -1.33
  
    20.00 % of games went Over
    33.33 % went Over at Stanford               
    (since        1996 )
  
   average total points per game =  43.83
   time-weighted average total   =  49.42
  
   the home team covered  33.33 % of the time
   the road team covered  66.67 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential = -6.33
  
   the favorite  covered  16.67 % of the time
   the underdog  covered  83.33 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential = -9.67
  
   the favorite won SU    33.33 % of the time
  
   Utah                    covered  83.33 % of the time
   Stanford                covered  16.67 % of the time
  
   Stanford                covered   0.00 % of the time at home
  

Here are three score predictions for the game.  The first score uses season to date data. The 2nd score uses data from the last 4 games and the 3rd score uses data from the last 7 games.

Utah                      -7.0          31           
Stanford                  54.0          22
  
Utah                      -7.0          37           
Stanford                  54.0          19
  
Utah                      -7.0          33           
Stanford                  54.0          26
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