Virginia Tech at Boston College – CFB Pick – 11/5/21

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virginia tech vs. boston college cfb pick ats
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Boston College will host Virginia Tech on Friday night with kickoff scheduled for 7:30 PM EST. The Hokies are 3 point road favorites with a current posted total of 46.5 as of Tuesday afternoon.

Boston College comes into the game at 4-4 overall but a miserable 0-4 in conference play. For the Eagles, at this point, with 4 games remaining, the focus becomes winning at least 2 more games and becoming bowl qualified.

Virginia Tech is also 4-4 overall but 2-2 in conference play. While they also need 2 more wins to become bowl eligible, they are still in contention in the ACC Coastal division.

Head to Head History Virginia Tech vs. BC

10/17/2020  Boston College           14  +12.5  at Virginia Tech            40
 8/31/2019  Virginia Tech            28  - 4.5  at Boston College           35
11/ 3/2018  Boston College           31  - 2.0  at Virginia Tech            21
10/ 7/2017  Virginia Tech            23  -16.5  at Boston College           10
 9/17/2016  Boston College            0  + 6.0  at Virginia Tech            49
10/31/2015  Virginia Tech            26  - 2.5  at Boston College           10
11/ 1/2014  Boston College           33  + 3.5  at Virginia Tech            31
11/ 2/2013  Virginia Tech            27  - 4.5  at Boston College           34
11/17/2012  Virginia Tech            30  -10.0  at Boston College           23
10/22/2011  Boston College           14  +21.0  at Virginia Tech            30
 9/25/2010  Virginia Tech            19  - 3.5  at Boston College            0
10/10/2009  Boston College           14  +13.5  at Virginia Tech            48
12/ 6/2008  Virginia Tech            30  + 0.0  vs Boston College           12
10/18/2008  Virginia Tech            23  + 3.0  at Boston College           28
12/ 1/2007  Virginia Tech            30  - 3.5  vs Boston College           16
10/25/2007  Boston College           14  + 3.5  at Virginia Tech            10
10/12/2006  Virginia Tech             3  - 2.5  at Boston College           22
10/27/2005  Boston College           10  +13.0  at Virginia Tech            30
11/22/2003  Boston College           34  +15.0  at Virginia Tech            27
10/10/2002  Virginia Tech            28  - 6.0  at Boston College           23
10/13/2001  Boston College           20  +21.0  at Virginia Tech            34
 9/30/2000  Virginia Tech            48  -14.5  at Boston College           34
11/26/1999  Boston College           14  +24.0  at Virginia Tech            38
10/ 8/1998  Virginia Tech            17  - 6.5  at Boston College            0
10/11/1997  Boston College            7  +19.0  at Virginia Tech            17
 9/14/1996  Virginia Tech            45  - 3.0  at Boston College            7
 9/ 7/1995  Boston College           20  + 2.5  at Virginia Tech            14
 9/17/1994  Virginia Tech            12  + 2.0  at Boston College            7
11/ 6/1993  Virginia Tech            34  + 4.0  at Boston College           48
  
   average outcome:
     Virginia Tech           28.0  Boston College          18.4
     margin =  -9.59
  
   time-weighted average outcome:
     Virginia Tech           30.8  Boston College          20.2
     margin = -10.67
  
   average result when the home team is Boston College         
     Virginia Tech           25.9  Boston College          20.1
     margin =  -5.86
  
   average result when the home team is Virginia Tech          
     Boston College          17.3  Virginia Tech           29.9
     margin =  12.62
  
    60.00 % of games went Over
    58.33 % went Over at Boston College         
    (since        1995 )
  
   average total points per game =  46.41
   time-weighted average total   =  50.98
  
   the home team covered  50.00 % of the time
   the road team covered  50.00 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential = -1.31
  
   the favorite  covered  44.44 % of the time
   the underdog  covered  55.56 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential =  1.74
  
   the favorite won SU    71.43 % of the time
  
   Virginia Tech           covered  39.29 % of the time
   Boston College          covered  60.71 % of the time
  
   Boston College          covered  64.29 % of the time at home
   Boston College          covered  63.64 % of the time as home underdogs

Here are 3 score predictions from our model. The first score uses season to date data. The 2nd score uses data from the last 4 games and the 3rd score uses data from the last 7 games.

As you can see, it’s an across the board sweep in favor of Virginia Tech.

Virginia Tech             -3            21           
Boston College            46.5          17
  
Virginia Tech             -3            21           
Boston College            46.5          11
  
Virginia Tech             -3            24           
Boston College            46.5          18