Iowa State at Baylor – Head to Head History with Free Pick – 9/25/21

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iowa state at baylor head to head history with free pick
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2-1 Iowa State plays on the road for the 2nd consecutive week as they take on undefeated Baylor in Big 12 college football action this week. Iowa State is favored by 7 with a total of 47.5.

Head to Head History

head-to-head history (lined games):
  
11/ 7/2020  Baylor                   31  +14.0  at Iowa State               38
 9/28/2019  Iowa State               21  - 2.5  at Baylor                   23
11/10/2018  Baylor                   14  +16.5  at Iowa State               28
11/18/2017  Iowa State               23  - 7.5  at Baylor                   13
10/ 1/2016  Baylor                   45  -17.0  at Iowa State               42
10/24/2015  Iowa State               27  +37.0  at Baylor                   45
 9/27/2014  Baylor                   49  -21.5  at Iowa State               28
10/19/2013  Iowa State                7  +33.0  at Baylor                   71
10/27/2012  Baylor                   21  + 2.5  at Iowa State               35
10/ 8/2011  Iowa State               26  +15.5  at Baylor                   49
10/17/2009  Baylor                   10  + 1.0  at Iowa State               24
10/11/2008  Iowa State               10  + 4.5  at Baylor                   38
10/ 8/2005  Baylor                   23  + 9.0  at Iowa State               13
10/23/2004  Iowa State               26  - 8.0  at Baylor                   25
 9/29/2001  Baylor                    0  +14.5  at Iowa State               41
 9/30/2000  Iowa State               31  -12.0  at Baylor                   17
10/25/1997  Baylor                   17  - 6.0  at Iowa State               24
10/26/1996  Iowa State               21  + 7.5  at Baylor                   49
  
   average outcome:
     Iowa State              25.8  Baylor                  30.0
     margin =   4.17
  
   time-weighted average outcome:
     Iowa State              28.7  Baylor                  30.0
     margin =   1.31
  
   average result when the home team is Baylor                 
     Iowa State              21.3  Baylor                  36.7
     margin =  15.33
  
   average result when the home team is Iowa State             
     Baylor                  23.3  Iowa State              30.3
     margin =   7.00
  
    40.00 % of games went Over
    42.86 % went Over at Baylor                 
    (since        2001 )
  
   average total points per game =  55.83
   time-weighted average total   =  58.68
  
   the home team covered  66.67 % of the time
   the road team covered  33.33 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential =  6.69
  
   the favorite  covered  50.00 % of the time
   the underdog  covered  50.00 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential =  2.86
  
   the favorite won SU    83.33 % of the time
  
   Iowa State              covered  50.00 % of the time
   Baylor                  covered  50.00 % of the time
  
   Baylor                  covered  66.67 % of the time at home
   Baylor                  covered  50.00 % of the time as home underdogs

Our Pick

We can’t get too excited about Baylor undefeated start. Those 3 wins game against Texas Southern, Texas State and Kansas. We haven’t learned anything about Baylor off of those three opponents.

Iowa State came into this season with extremely high expectations. After the fantastic year they had in 2020 and the fact that this team returned all of their talent, big things were expected.

Yet, the Cyclones already have a loss at the hands of in state rival Iowa. Their  two wins came against Northern Iowa and UNLV.

If Iowa State is going to put it all together and resemble last years team, it has to start this week. You could even call this a must win and anything less than a dominant performance is going to draw red flags. We’ll lay the TD with Iowa State here.

Iowa State -7