2-1 Iowa State plays on the road for the 2nd consecutive week as they take on undefeated Baylor in Big 12 college football action this week. Iowa State is favored by 7 with a total of 47.5.
Head to Head History
head-to-head history (lined games):
11/ 7/2020 Baylor 31 +14.0 at Iowa State 38
9/28/2019 Iowa State 21 - 2.5 at Baylor 23
11/10/2018 Baylor 14 +16.5 at Iowa State 28
11/18/2017 Iowa State 23 - 7.5 at Baylor 13
10/ 1/2016 Baylor 45 -17.0 at Iowa State 42
10/24/2015 Iowa State 27 +37.0 at Baylor 45
9/27/2014 Baylor 49 -21.5 at Iowa State 28
10/19/2013 Iowa State 7 +33.0 at Baylor 71
10/27/2012 Baylor 21 + 2.5 at Iowa State 35
10/ 8/2011 Iowa State 26 +15.5 at Baylor 49
10/17/2009 Baylor 10 + 1.0 at Iowa State 24
10/11/2008 Iowa State 10 + 4.5 at Baylor 38
10/ 8/2005 Baylor 23 + 9.0 at Iowa State 13
10/23/2004 Iowa State 26 - 8.0 at Baylor 25
9/29/2001 Baylor 0 +14.5 at Iowa State 41
9/30/2000 Iowa State 31 -12.0 at Baylor 17
10/25/1997 Baylor 17 - 6.0 at Iowa State 24
10/26/1996 Iowa State 21 + 7.5 at Baylor 49
average outcome:
Iowa State 25.8 Baylor 30.0
margin = 4.17
time-weighted average outcome:
Iowa State 28.7 Baylor 30.0
margin = 1.31
average result when the home team is Baylor
Iowa State 21.3 Baylor 36.7
margin = 15.33
average result when the home team is Iowa State
Baylor 23.3 Iowa State 30.3
margin = 7.00
40.00 % of games went Over
42.86 % went Over at Baylor
(since 2001 )
average total points per game = 55.83
time-weighted average total = 58.68
the home team covered 66.67 % of the time
the road team covered 33.33 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = 6.69
the favorite covered 50.00 % of the time
the underdog covered 50.00 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = 2.86
the favorite won SU 83.33 % of the time
Iowa State covered 50.00 % of the time
Baylor covered 50.00 % of the time
Baylor covered 66.67 % of the time at home
Baylor covered 50.00 % of the time as home underdogs
Our Pick
We can’t get too excited about Baylor undefeated start. Those 3 wins game against Texas Southern, Texas State and Kansas. We haven’t learned anything about Baylor off of those three opponents.
Iowa State came into this season with extremely high expectations. After the fantastic year they had in 2020 and the fact that this team returned all of their talent, big things were expected.
Yet, the Cyclones already have a loss at the hands of in state rival Iowa. Their two wins came against Northern Iowa and UNLV.
If Iowa State is going to put it all together and resemble last years team, it has to start this week. You could even call this a must win and anything less than a dominant performance is going to draw red flags. We’ll lay the TD with Iowa State here.