Oregon State at USC – Head to Head History with Free Pick – 9/25/21

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oregon state at usc head to head history with pick
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USC will host Oregon on Saturday night and the Trojans are favored by 11 with a total of 65.5. The game kicks off at 10:30 PM EST and can be seen on FOX Sports 1.

Here a look at the head to head history between these two programs which will be followed by our pick against the spread.

Head to Head History

head-to-head history (lined games):
  
11/ 3/2018  Southern Cal             38  -14.5  at Oregon State             21
10/ 7/2017  Oregon State             10  +33.0  at Southern Cal             38
 9/27/2014  Oregon State             10  + 9.0  at Southern Cal             35
11/ 1/2013  Southern Cal             31  + 4.5  at Oregon State             14
11/20/2010  Southern Cal              7  - 3.0  at Oregon State             36
10/24/2009  Oregon State             36  +20.5  at Southern Cal             42
 9/25/2008  Southern Cal             21  -25.0  at Oregon State             27
11/ 3/2007  Oregon State              3  +14.5  at Southern Cal             24
10/28/2006  Southern Cal             31  -14.0  at Oregon State             33
11/ 6/2004  Southern Cal             28  -16.0  at Oregon State             20
12/ 6/2003  Oregon State             28  +21.0  at Southern Cal             52
 9/28/2002  Oregon State              0  + 2.5  at Southern Cal             22
11/ 3/2001  Oregon State             13  + 7.0  at Southern Cal             16
 9/30/2000  Southern Cal             21  - 5.5  at Oregon State             31
10/ 2/1999  Oregon State             29  +14.0  at Southern Cal             37
 9/19/1998  Oregon State             20  +15.5  at Southern Cal             40
11/15/1997  Southern Cal             23  -11.5  at Oregon State              0
 9/14/1996  Oregon State             17  +25.5  at Southern Cal             46
11/11/1995  Southern Cal             28  -15.0  at Oregon State             10
10/ 8/1994  Southern Cal             27  - 6.5  at Oregon State             19
10/16/1993  Oregon State              9  +22.0  at Southern Cal             34
11/10/1990  Southern Cal             56  -23.0  at Oregon State              7
  
   average outcome:
     Oregon State            17.9  Southern Cal            31.7
     margin =  13.82
  
   time-weighted average outcome:
     Oregon State            15.1  Southern Cal            36.2
     margin =  21.10
  
   average result when the home team is Southern Cal           
     Oregon State            15.9  Southern Cal            35.1
     margin =  19.18
  
   average result when the home team is Oregon State           
     Southern Cal            28.3  Oregon State            19.8
     margin =  -8.45
  
    33.33 % of games went Over
    28.57 % went Over at Southern Cal           
    (since        1995 )
  
   average total points per game =  49.55
   time-weighted average total   =  51.28
  
   the home team covered  54.55 % of the time
   the road team covered  45.45 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential =  2.86
  
   the favorite  covered  54.55 % of the time
   the underdog  covered  45.45 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential = -2.41
  
   the favorite won SU    77.27 % of the time
  
   Oregon State            covered  40.91 % of the time
   Southern Cal            covered  59.09 % of the time
  
   Southern Cal            covered  63.64 % of the time at home
   Southern Cal            covered  63.64 % of the time as home favorites

Our Pick

Oregon State lost their opener to Purdue and then beat Hawaii and Idaho. UCLA won their opener but then lost to Stanford. That loss led to the firing of head coach Clay Helton.

In their next game against Washington State, USC slept walk through the first half, trailing 14-7 at the end of the half. But something happened at half time of that game. A spark was lit. The Trojans came out and scored 28 in the 3rd quarter en route to a 48-14 blow out win.

We know USC is the more talented team. They are more talented than most teams in the country, period. When the Trojans don’t produce, look no further than coaching. The firing was just.

We look for USC to pick up where they left off in the 2nd half last week in this game.

USC -11