USC will host Oregon on Saturday night and the Trojans are favored by 11 with a total of 65.5. The game kicks off at 10:30 PM EST and can be seen on FOX Sports 1.
Here a look at the head to head history between these two programs which will be followed by our pick against the spread.
Head to Head History
head-to-head history (lined games):
11/ 3/2018 Southern Cal 38 -14.5 at Oregon State 21
10/ 7/2017 Oregon State 10 +33.0 at Southern Cal 38
9/27/2014 Oregon State 10 + 9.0 at Southern Cal 35
11/ 1/2013 Southern Cal 31 + 4.5 at Oregon State 14
11/20/2010 Southern Cal 7 - 3.0 at Oregon State 36
10/24/2009 Oregon State 36 +20.5 at Southern Cal 42
9/25/2008 Southern Cal 21 -25.0 at Oregon State 27
11/ 3/2007 Oregon State 3 +14.5 at Southern Cal 24
10/28/2006 Southern Cal 31 -14.0 at Oregon State 33
11/ 6/2004 Southern Cal 28 -16.0 at Oregon State 20
12/ 6/2003 Oregon State 28 +21.0 at Southern Cal 52
9/28/2002 Oregon State 0 + 2.5 at Southern Cal 22
11/ 3/2001 Oregon State 13 + 7.0 at Southern Cal 16
9/30/2000 Southern Cal 21 - 5.5 at Oregon State 31
10/ 2/1999 Oregon State 29 +14.0 at Southern Cal 37
9/19/1998 Oregon State 20 +15.5 at Southern Cal 40
11/15/1997 Southern Cal 23 -11.5 at Oregon State 0
9/14/1996 Oregon State 17 +25.5 at Southern Cal 46
11/11/1995 Southern Cal 28 -15.0 at Oregon State 10
10/ 8/1994 Southern Cal 27 - 6.5 at Oregon State 19
10/16/1993 Oregon State 9 +22.0 at Southern Cal 34
11/10/1990 Southern Cal 56 -23.0 at Oregon State 7
average outcome:
Oregon State 17.9 Southern Cal 31.7
margin = 13.82
time-weighted average outcome:
Oregon State 15.1 Southern Cal 36.2
margin = 21.10
average result when the home team is Southern Cal
Oregon State 15.9 Southern Cal 35.1
margin = 19.18
average result when the home team is Oregon State
Southern Cal 28.3 Oregon State 19.8
margin = -8.45
33.33 % of games went Over
28.57 % went Over at Southern Cal
(since 1995 )
average total points per game = 49.55
time-weighted average total = 51.28
the home team covered 54.55 % of the time
the road team covered 45.45 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = 2.86
the favorite covered 54.55 % of the time
the underdog covered 45.45 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = -2.41
the favorite won SU 77.27 % of the time
Oregon State covered 40.91 % of the time
Southern Cal covered 59.09 % of the time
Southern Cal covered 63.64 % of the time at home
Southern Cal covered 63.64 % of the time as home favorites
Our Pick
Oregon State lost their opener to Purdue and then beat Hawaii and Idaho. UCLA won their opener but then lost to Stanford. That loss led to the firing of head coach Clay Helton.
In their next game against Washington State, USC slept walk through the first half, trailing 14-7 at the end of the half. But something happened at half time of that game. A spark was lit. The Trojans came out and scored 28 in the 3rd quarter en route to a 48-14 blow out win.
We know USC is the more talented team. They are more talented than most teams in the country, period. When the Trojans don’t produce, look no further than coaching. The firing was just.
We look for USC to pick up where they left off in the 2nd half last week in this game.