Kentucky at South Carolina
South Carolina will host Kentucky on Saturday the 25th of September. Kentucky is favored on the road by -5.5 with a total of 49 at Betonline. The game can be seen on ESPN2 with kickoff set for 7 PM EST.
Kentucky comes into the game undefeated at 3-0 with their most notable win a 35-28 decision over Missouri.
The Gamecocks are 2-1, beating Eastern Illinois and East Carolina but getting their doors blown off when they stepped up in class to face Georgia, 40-13.
Head to Head History
head-to-head history (lined games):
12/ 5/2020 South Carolina 18 +11.5 at Kentucky 41
9/28/2019 Kentucky 7 + 3.0 at South Carolina 24
9/29/2018 South Carolina 10 - 2.5 at Kentucky 24
9/16/2017 Kentucky 23 + 6.0 at South Carolina 13
9/24/2016 South Carolina 10 + 2.5 at Kentucky 17
9/12/2015 Kentucky 26 + 7.0 at South Carolina 22
10/ 4/2014 South Carolina 38 - 4.0 at Kentucky 45
10/ 5/2013 Kentucky 28 +21.5 at South Carolina 35
9/29/2012 South Carolina 38 -20.5 at Kentucky 17
10/ 8/2011 Kentucky 3 +21.0 at South Carolina 54
10/16/2010 South Carolina 28 - 5.0 at Kentucky 31
10/10/2009 Kentucky 26 + 9.5 at South Carolina 28
10/11/2008 South Carolina 24 - 3.0 at Kentucky 17
10/ 4/2007 Kentucky 23 + 4.0 at South Carolina 38
10/ 7/2006 South Carolina 24 - 3.5 at Kentucky 17
10/ 8/2005 Kentucky 16 +12.5 at South Carolina 44
10/16/2004 South Carolina 12 - 9.5 at Kentucky 7
10/ 9/2003 Kentucky 21 + 6.5 at South Carolina 27
10/12/2002 South Carolina 16 + 5.5 at Kentucky 12
10/ 6/2001 Kentucky 6 +22.5 at South Carolina 42
10/ 7/2000 South Carolina 20 - 2.0 at Kentucky 17
10/ 9/1999 Kentucky 30 - 8.0 at South Carolina 10
10/10/1998 South Carolina 28 +14.0 at Kentucky 33
10/11/1997 Kentucky 24 + 1.5 at South Carolina 38
10/12/1996 South Carolina 25 - 7.0 at Kentucky 14
9/23/1995 Kentucky 35 +13.5 at South Carolina 30
9/24/1994 South Carolina 23 - 7.0 at Kentucky 9
9/23/1993 Kentucky 21 +11.0 at South Carolina 17
9/26/1992 South Carolina 9 +10.5 at Kentucky 13
average outcome:
Kentucky 20.8 South Carolina 25.7
margin = 4.90
time-weighted average outcome:
Kentucky 24.8 South Carolina 19.5
margin = -5.31
average result when the home team is South Carolina
Kentucky 20.6 South Carolina 30.1
margin = 9.50
average result when the home team is Kentucky
South Carolina 21.5 Kentucky 20.9
margin = -0.60
57.14 % of games went Over
70.00 % went Over at South Carolina
(since 1995 )
average total points per game = 46.48
time-weighted average total = 44.28
the home team covered 41.38 % of the time
the road team covered 58.62 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = 0.43
the favorite covered 51.72 % of the time
the underdog covered 48.28 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = -0.12
the favorite won SU 72.41 % of the time
Kentucky covered 48.28 % of the time
South Carolina covered 51.72 % of the time
South Carolina covered 42.86 % of the time at home
South Carolina covered 0.00 % of the time as home underdogs
Coaching Edge to Kentucky
We think this game may come down to a coaching edge. Mark Stoops has been the head coach at Kentucky since 2013. After 3 seasons below .500 he rattled off 4 consecutive winning seasons including 10-3 in 2018. In the 2020 covid year he was 5-6.
Shane Beamer took over at South Carolina this season. While he’s the son of a coaching legend, this is his first head coaching gig. He inherited a team which saw players opt out when the coaching change was made and the team has issues at QB.
It really comes down to Stoops knowing exactly what he has to work with. It’s his team. His players and he’s done a fine job in finding ways to win since he’s been there.
For Beamer, it’s not his team. Not his players. He has to make the best with what was left to him. It will take a few years for him to put his stamp on this team through recruiting and getting his systems in place.
The coaching edge should be enough to get the win and the cover here for Kentucky.