Notre Dame at Virginia Tech – Free College Football Pick ATS – 10/9/21

notre dame at virginia tech free cfb pick ats
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Virginia Tech will host Notre Dame on Saturday Night in a game that kicks off at 7:30 PM EST. The Irish opened up as a -3 point road favorite but bettors quickly pounced on that pushing this game all the way to pick and even Tech -1 in spots. The total is 47.

Notre Dame is in off of a home loss to a very good Cincinnati team. Coming into that game the Irish were undefeated but mostly untested. They struggled to put away Florida State and Toledo for example and while they blew out Wisconsin, the score in that one was very misleading.

Virginia Tech comes in at 3-1. Their lone loss came by 6 to West Virginia. They beat UNC, Mid Tenn and Richmond. So, for all intents and purposes, the Hokies are 1-1 as the only games we can learn anything from are the UNC and WVA tilts.

head-to-head history (lined games):
11/ 2/2019  Virginia Tech            20  +17.5  at Notre Dame               21
10/ 6/2018  Notre Dame               45  - 6.5  at Virginia Tech            23
11/19/2016  Virginia Tech            34  + 2.0  at Notre Dame               31

As you can see above, there’s not much recent history here. They played a tight one in 2019 and 2016 while the Irish won handily in 2018.

We think the early bettors likely got this one right taking the +3. Our model once again predicts a low scoring game. In fact, 11 points lower than the current posted total.

No real opinion on the side at this point but the model does like Tech by 6. We’ll make a small play here on under the total.


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