Nebraska will host Ohio State on Saturday afternoon at 12 noon EST. The Buckeyes are a -15 point road favorite with a total of 65.
Ohio State comes into the game at 7-1 overall and 5-0 in conference play. Fresh off last weeks battle with Penn State, which didn’t go as easy as many “experts” thought. After Nebraska the Buckeyes have Purdue, Michigan and Michigan State waiting in the wings. Things are getting interesting in the Big 10 race!
Nebraska comes into the game at 3-6 overall and just 1-5 in Big 10 action. That places the Cornhuskers in last place in the Big 10 West division. Quite frankly, Nebraska may be the best last place teams ever. All of their losses were by a TD or less and that includes games against Oklahoma, Michigan and Michigan State.
Head to Head History Nebraska – Ohio State
10/24/2020 Nebraska 17 +26.5 at Ohio State 52
9/28/2019 Ohio State 48 -17.0 at Nebraska 7
11/ 3/2018 Nebraska 31 +17.5 at Ohio State 36
10/14/2017 Ohio State 56 -24.5 at Nebraska 14
11/ 5/2016 Nebraska 3 +17.5 at Ohio State 62
10/ 6/2012 Nebraska 38 + 3.5 at Ohio State 63
10/ 8/2011 Ohio State 27 +10.5 at Nebraska 34
average outcome:
Ohio State 49.1 Nebraska 20.6
margin = -28.57
time-weighted average outcome:
Ohio State 50.3 Nebraska 15.7
margin = -34.61
average result when the home team is Nebraska
Ohio State 43.7 Nebraska 18.3
margin = -25.33
average result when the home team is Ohio State
Nebraska 22.3 Ohio State 53.3
margin = 31.00
71.43 % of games went Over
66.67 % went Over at Nebraska
average total points per game = 69.71
time-weighted average total = 65.99
the home team covered 42.86 % of the time
the road team covered 57.14 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = 2.00
the favorite covered 71.43 % of the time
the underdog covered 28.57 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = 13.86
the favorite won SU 100.00 % of the time
Ohio State covered 85.71 % of the time
Nebraska covered 14.29 % of the time
Nebraska covered 0.00 % of the time at home
Nebraska covered 0.00 % of the time as home underdogs
Here is the way our model sees the game. The score in the middle prediction g a 46-18 blowout is using data only from the last 4 games. The first score is season to date data and the last score is using data from the last 7 games.
Ohio State -15.0 29 Nebraska 64.0 24 Ohio State -15.0 46 Nebraska 64.0 18 Ohio State -15.0 29 Nebraska 64.0 22