Here are the score predictions from our model for the Bowl games if December 27th. You’ll see 3 predictions. The first using data from the entire season, the 2nd using data from just the last 7 games and the 3rd using data from just the last 4 games.
Once again we’ll urge caution with these Bowl games due to the large number of opt outs and transfers. For example, the Oklahoma State vs. Wisconsin game COULD have been a great game to handicap. But there was a mass exodus of key players from Oklahoma State and Wisconsin will be without their QB and it’s two best defensive players.
We’ve yet to make a real play on any of the Bowl games thus far and it doesn’t look like we’ll be starting with this bunch!
Georgia Southern -3.5 35 NEUTRAL Buffalo 67.5 29 Georgia Southern -3.5 36 NEUTRAL Buffalo 67.5 23 Georgia Southern -3.5 37 NEUTRAL Buffalo 67.5 27 Utah State 61.0 20 NEUTRAL Memphis -7.0 40 Utah State 61.0 17 NEUTRAL Memphis -7.0 49 Utah State 61.0 21 NEUTRAL Memphis -7.0 43 East Carolina -8.0 35 NEUTRAL Coastal Carolina 62.0 23 East Carolina -8.0 35 NEUTRAL Coastal Carolina 62.0 27 East Carolina -8.0 38 NEUTRAL Coastal Carolina 62.0 23 Oklahoma State 43.0 21 NEUTRAL Wisconsin -3.0 26 Oklahoma State 43.0 13 NEUTRAL Wisconsin -3.0 11 Oklahoma State 43.0 17 NEUTRAL Wisconsin -3.0 25
As mentioned above, no official plays for us for these games on the 27th, however we’ll offer some leans.
Wisconsin -3.5 over Oklahoma State – Lean only – Oklahoma State is by far one of the teams most impacted by transfers. It would seem to speak volumes for the general state of mind of this team.
Our model, using the two most important predictions (last 7 games and full season) has Wisconsin by 5 to 8 points and that’s BEFORE taking into account the mass exodus. Of course, the Badgers missing QB Mertz, two key defenders and having an interim head coach goes a long way towards negating any edge.
We’ll also lean towards Buffalo +4 and Utah State +7.5 despite our model liking the other sides.
Good Luck if you play today and be careful!!