Minnesota at Michigan State CFB Pick with Analysis – 9-24

minnesota at michigan cfb pick ats
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Michigan State will host Minnesota in Big 10 college football action on Saturday September 24th with kickoff scheduled for 3:30 pm est. The Gophers are -3 point road favorites at betonline with a total of 51.

These two teams have played 6 games between them but only one legitimate opponent and that was Michigan State against Washington last week. Otherwise it’s Akron and Western Michigan for the Spartans and Colorado, New Mexico State and Western Illinois for Minnesota.

Spartans Opened as Favorite

The Gophers won all three of their games easily in blow out fashion. Hence the big line move in this one where Michigan State opened up as the favorite and is now +3 in spots. Jayden Reed is also listed as questionable.

Last week at Washington the Spartans gave up 503 yards to the Huskies with 397 of those yards through the air thanks to Michael Penix Jr. But the secondary should get a bit of a break this week facing the run first Gophers.

These two teams haven’t met since 2017. But here’s a look at their meetings going back to 2001.

10/14/2017  Michigan State           30  - 4.5  at Minnesota                27
11/30/2013  Minnesota                 3  +15.5  at Michigan State           14
11/24/2012  Michigan State           26  - 8.5  at Minnesota                10
11/ 5/2011  Minnesota                24  +28.0  at Michigan State           31
11/ 6/2010  Minnesota                 8  +24.0  at Michigan State           31
10/31/2009  Michigan State           34  - 3.5  at Minnesota                42
11/11/2006  Minnesota                31  - 1.5  at Michigan State           18
11/12/2005  Michigan State           18  + 4.0  at Minnesota                41
10/16/2004  Minnesota                17  - 8.0  at Michigan State           51
10/18/2003  Michigan State           44  + 7.0  at Minnesota                38
10/19/2002  Minnesota                28  + 5.5  at Michigan State            7
10/20/2001  Michigan State           19  - 3.0  at Minnesota                28

As you can see, the Spartans have won the 5 most recent meetings. Most of them easily though the Gophers have covered 7 of the last 8.

We don’t think this Spartans team is as bad as they looked last week. This is a team that was 11-2 last year and while they lost some key playmakers they still have a core group of guys that were a part of that 11 win team.

Tucker Took Loss Personally

Coach Mel Tucker said he took last weeks loss personally. Here’s a quote: “Your resume is on the tape,” explained Tucker. “So like right now, I am a horse-shit football coach right now. Hell yeah I take it personally.”

We’d expect a different Michigan State team this week and Minnesota may be just what the Doctor ordered. While the Gophers have had success running the ball this year, they have yet to face a run defense like the Spartans.

Offensively, Michigan State should find the going much more to their liking against a Gophers defense ranked 110th nationally in sacks and 128th in red zone efficiency.

We look for Michigan State to win this game straight up.

Michigan State +3

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