Colorado vs. Oregon Week 4 NCAAF ATS Pick – 9-23

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colorado vs. oregon pick ats cfb
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11th ranked Oregon clashes with 19th ranked Colorado in a huge game and the first for each in the Pac 12.

Oregon comes into this game as a big home betting favorite posted at -21 with a total of 71.5. Even with Deion Sanders and the excitement he has brought to a 3-0 Colorado team the public has still backed the Ducks, as they opened as a 20.5-point favorite and are now a 21-point favorite as of Thursday morning.

In their last game Colorado moved to 3-0 with a thrilling 43-35 double OT win over Colorado State. The Buffaloes failed to cover the spread as a 22.5-point favorite while they had covered in their previous two games.

Oregon was at home in their last game and laid a 55-10 beat down on Hawaii. The Ducks covered the spread as a 38-point favorite and they have covered in all three of their games.

Last season at home Colorado lost to Oregon 49-10 but this is a different Buffaloes team with all the new players Prime Time brought in.

The Sons Get It Done

Prime Time brought two of his sons with him from Jackson State and his son safety Shilo Sanders started the scoring with an 80-yard pick six and QB Shedeur Sanders led the team on a 98-yard TD drive late to force overtime.

For the game Colorado was outgained 499 yards to 419 yards and only had 70 rushing yards but they forced four turnovers and only committed two.

Shedeur Sanders passed for 348 yards with four TD and one INT and four Colorado players had at least 60 receiving yards. He has passed for 1,251 yards on the season with 10 TD and only one INT but has been sacked 15 times in three games. He leads an offense that ranks second in the nation in passing yards per game but second to last in rushing yards per game.

Two-way star CB/WR Travis Hunter, who Sanders also brought from Jackson State, was injured in the last game, and will not go against Oregon.

Four players for Colorado have at least 213 receiving yards led by Xavier Weaver (386 yards 4 TD).

The Colorado offense will be up against an Oregon defense that ranks 51st in the nation against the pass and 46th against the run.

Pure Domination

Oregon was dominant in their last game in the 55-10 win over Hawaii where they were up 34-3 at halftime and outgained the Rainbow Warriors 560 yards to 211 yards.

Bo Nix passed for 247 yards with three TD and no INT in the win over Hawaii and Noah Whittington and Jordan James combined for 141 rushing yards and three TD. Four players had at least 50 receiving yards in the win including Tez Johnson and Traeshon Holden, who each had two TD.

To say Oregon has a dynamic offense would be an understatement ranking second in the nation averaging 58 ppg. They are also balanced ranking seventh in the nation in passing yards per game and 11th in rushing yards per game.

Nix has passed for nearly 900 yards and has eight TD and has yet to be picked off. The Ducks have a slew of skill position players with two RB with at least 155 rushing yards and three WR with at least 155 receiving yards.

While Colorado is riding high, they have defensive issues, which is why they are a big road underdog. They only rank 114th in the nation defending the run and 95th defending the pass. They may have to light up the scoreboard to get the upset, as their D faces a balanced Ducks attack that ranks in the top 11 in the nation in both passing and rushing yards per game.

Trends 

Colorado is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games

In Colorado’s last three road games the total has gone Over every time.

Oregon is 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.

 

Our Pick – Colorado +21

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