Green Bay Packers vs. Las Vegas Raiders – Week 5 NFL Betting Analysis

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The Raiders have lost three in a row and look to stop the bleeding facing the 2-2 Packers on Monday night.

The reeling Raiders are a 1-point favorite in this prime-time game with a total of 45. The public has been betting on the Raiders, as they opened as a 1-point underdog and as of Friday morning are a 1-point favorite.

In their last game the Packers were at home last Thursday night and lost to the upstart Detroit Lions 34-20. They failed to cover as a 2.5-point underdog and they had covered the spread in their previous three games.

The Raiders were on the road in their last game and fell to the L.A. Chargers 24-17. The game was a pick with the Chargers a 7-point favorite and Las Vegas had failed to cover in their previous two games.

Season Worst

In the loss to the Lions the Packers gave up a season high 34 points while their previous high was 24 points. They were outgained 401 yards to 230 yards, gave up 211 rushing yards, and only managed to pick up 27 rushing yards.

In the Detroit loss Jordan Love passed for 245 yards with a TD and two picks. Romeo Doubs led the way with 95 receiving yards, and Aaron Jones was a non-factor with 18 rushing yards and -4 receiving yards.

The passing offense only ranks 20th for Green Bay but their rushing offense has been worse ranking third to last in the league averaging 74.5 rushing yards per game. A.J. Dillon is the leading RB and only has 118 yards through four games.

Love (901 yards 8 TD 3 INT) only ranks 19th in QB and all three of his picks have come in the last two games. He also ranks dead last in the league in completion percentage.

Love and company will be facing a Raiders’ defense that ranks a respectable 13th in NFL against the pass but only 26th against the run.

Offensive Issues

The Raiders have issues with their offense, as they have not scored more than 18 points in any game this season and only rank 25th in the league in scoring (15.5 ppg).

Off-season addition Jimmy Garoppolo, who only ranks 20th in QBR and has more picks (6) than TD (5) missed the last game with concussion issues and is listed as questionable for this game. Josh Jacobs led the league in rushing yards last season and after coming to camp late this season only has 166 rushing yards averaging 2.7 yards per carry this season.

Star WR Davante Adams (397 yards 3 TD) has voiced his frustration with the offense and the losses and is also listed as questionable for the Green Bay game with a shoulder injury.

If Jimmy G cannot go rookie Aidan O’Connell will get the start and in his first in the loss to the Chargers last week, he had the chance to force OT or the win late in the game but failed to get Las Vegas in the end zone. For the game he was 24/39 for 238 yards with a pick and no TD and was sacked seven times.

On the season the Packers’ defense ranks 11th against the pass and third to last in the league against the run.

Betting Trends

The Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.

The Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games facing the Raiders.

The Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Monday night games.

The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.

The Raiders have an Under record of 4-1 in their last five games.

 Our Pick – Packers +2.5

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