Georgia will host Kentucky in a battle of SEC undefeated teams on Saturday October 7th with kickoff set for 7 pm est. Wagerweb Sportsbook has the Bulldogs favored by -14.5 with a total of 49.
Series history going back to 1990
head-to-head history (lined games):
11/19/2022 Georgia 16 -22.5 at Kentucky 6
10/16/2021 Kentucky 13 +22.5 at Georgia 30
10/31/2020 Georgia 14 -17.0 at Kentucky 3
10/19/2019 Kentucky 0 +24.5 at Georgia 21
11/ 3/2018 Georgia 34 - 9.5 at Kentucky 17
11/18/2017 Kentucky 13 +23.5 at Georgia 42
11/ 5/2016 Georgia 27 - 2.5 at Kentucky 24
11/ 7/2015 Kentucky 3 +16.0 at Georgia 27
11/ 8/2014 Georgia 63 -10.5 at Kentucky 31
11/23/2013 Kentucky 17 +25.0 at Georgia 59
10/20/2012 Georgia 29 -26.0 at Kentucky 24
11/19/2011 Kentucky 10 +31.0 at Georgia 19
10/23/2010 Georgia 44 - 4.0 at Kentucky 31
11/21/2009 Kentucky 34 + 8.5 at Georgia 27
11/ 8/2008 Georgia 42 -12.5 at Kentucky 38
11/17/2007 Kentucky 13 + 8.0 at Georgia 24
11/ 4/2006 Georgia 20 - 6.0 at Kentucky 24
11/19/2005 Kentucky 13 +27.5 at Georgia 45
11/ 6/2004 Georgia 62 -23.0 at Kentucky 17
11/22/2003 Kentucky 10 +17.5 at Georgia 30
10/26/2002 Georgia 52 - 4.5 at Kentucky 24
10/20/2001 Kentucky 29 +21.0 at Georgia 43
10/21/2000 Georgia 34 - 9.0 at Kentucky 30
10/23/1999 Kentucky 34 + 4.0 at Georgia 49
10/24/1998 Georgia 28 - 1.5 at Kentucky 26
10/25/1997 Kentucky 13 + 8.5 at Georgia 23
10/26/1996 Georgia 17 -16.0 at Kentucky 24
10/21/1995 Kentucky 3 + 8.5 at Georgia 12
10/22/1994 Georgia 34 -13.0 at Kentucky 30
10/23/1993 Kentucky 28 + 7.5 at Georgia 33
10/24/1992 Georgia 40 -12.5 at Kentucky 7
10/26/1991 Kentucky 27 +17.0 at Georgia 49
10/27/1990 Georgia 24 - 2.0 at Kentucky 26
average outcome:
Kentucky 19.5 Georgia 33.7
margin = 14.27
time-weighted average outcome:
Kentucky 10.1 Georgia 25.9
margin = 15.82
average result when the home team is Georgia
Kentucky 16.3 Georgia 33.3
margin = 17.06
average result when the home team is Kentucky
Georgia 34.1 Kentucky 22.5
margin = -11.65
50.00 % of games went Over
46.15 % went Over at Georgia
(since 1997 )
average total points per game = 53.18
time-weighted average total = 35.99
the home team covered 57.58 % of the time
the road team covered 42.42 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = -0.11
the favorite covered 54.55 % of the time
the underdog covered 45.45 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = 0.26
the favorite won SU 87.88 % of the time
Kentucky covered 45.45 % of the time
Georgia covered 54.55 % of the time
Georgia covered 62.50 % of the time at home
Georgia covered 62.50 % of the time as home favorites
Kentucky Legit?
Heading into last week Kentucky was 4-0 against a cream puff schedule that consisted of Ball State, Eastern Kentucky, Akron and Vanderbilt. They faced a Florida team that has been historically good and had a win over Tennessee to their credit.
The Wildcats answered the bell by pounding out a 33-14 win while out gaining the Gators 329 to 69 on the ground. This left no doubt that Kentucky has a pulse and should prove to be a dangerous opponent for anyone this year, including the national champs.
Not surprisingly Georgia is 0-4-1 against the number so far this year.It’s not uncommon to see inflated pointspreads the year after winning the national championship in spectacular fashion.
A year ago they knocked off South Carolina 48-7 and Auburn 42-10. This year those results were 24-14 and 27-20.
One of the few teams the Bulldogs did not blow out last year was Kentucky. Last years tilt saw a 16-6 final. In fact if you take a look at the series history here you may not find many Kentucky straight up wins nut there’s no shortage of competitive games.
This game opened at Georgia -17 at a few sportsbooks and if you were there to grab the points we think you have yourself a pretty good wager. Even at the current +14.5 the feeling here is that there is still some value.
We think Georgia wins this game but the cover should be in doubt most of the way. We’ll take the +14.5 here as the Wildcats look to pull off the huge upset.