South Carolina at Tennessee CFB Pick ATS – 9-30

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south carolins vs. tennessee cfb pick
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The #21 ranked Tennessee Vols (3-1) will host the Tennessee Gamecocks (2-2) on Saturday night, September 30th with kickoff set for 7:30 pm est. Wagerweb Sportsbook has the Vols favored by -12.5 with a total of 63.

Below you’ll find the series history going back to 1992. While there’s no shortage of close games between these two it’s worth noting that the Vols only lost two games last year and one of those was to the Gamecocks who hung a whopping 63 points on the board.

Can you say REVENGE?

Head to Head

  
11/19/2022  Tennessee                38  -22.0  at South Carolina           63
10/ 9/2021  South Carolina           20  +10.5  at Tennessee                45
 9/26/2020  Tennessee                31  - 3.5  at South Carolina           27
10/26/2019  South Carolina           21  - 4.5  at Tennessee                41
10/27/2018  Tennessee                24  + 8.5  at South Carolina           27
10/14/2017  South Carolina           15  + 3.0  at Tennessee                 9
10/29/2016  Tennessee                21  -14.0  at South Carolina           24
11/ 7/2015  South Carolina           24  +17.5  at Tennessee                27
11/ 1/2014  Tennessee                45  + 6.0  at South Carolina           42
10/19/2013  South Carolina           21  - 7.5  at Tennessee                23
10/27/2012  Tennessee                35  +14.0  at South Carolina           38
10/29/2011  South Carolina           14  - 3.5  at Tennessee                 3
10/30/2010  Tennessee                24  +17.5  at South Carolina           38
10/31/2009  South Carolina           13  + 6.0  at Tennessee                31
11/ 1/2008  Tennessee                 6  + 6.0  at South Carolina           27
10/27/2007  South Carolina           24  + 3.0  at Tennessee                27
10/28/2006  Tennessee                31  - 3.5  at South Carolina           24
10/29/2005  South Carolina           16  +14.5  at Tennessee                15
10/30/2004  Tennessee                43  - 2.5  at South Carolina           29
 9/27/2003  South Carolina           20  +14.5  at Tennessee                23
11/ 2/2002  Tennessee                18  - 2.5  at South Carolina           10
10/27/2001  South Carolina           10  + 8.0  at Tennessee                17
10/28/2000  Tennessee                17  - 1.0  at South Carolina           14
10/30/1999  South Carolina            7  +33.0  at Tennessee                30
10/31/1998  Tennessee                49  -17.0  at South Carolina           14
11/ 1/1997  South Carolina            7  +19.0  at Tennessee                22
11/ 2/1996  Tennessee                31  -17.5  at South Carolina           14
10/28/1995  South Carolina           21  +16.5  at Tennessee                56
10/29/1994  Tennessee                31  - 7.0  at South Carolina           22
10/30/1993  South Carolina            3  +19.5  at Tennessee                55
10/31/1992  Tennessee                23  -13.5  at South Carolina           24
  
   average outcome:
     South Carolina          21.7  Tennessee               28.7
     margin =   7.03
  
   time-weighted average outcome:
     South Carolina          30.5  Tennessee               32.7
     margin =   2.20
  
   average result when the home team is Tennessee              
     South Carolina          15.7  Tennessee               28.3
     margin =  12.53
  
   average result when the home team is South Carolina         
     Tennessee               29.2  South Carolina          27.3
     margin =  -1.88
  
    47.83 % of games went Over
    41.67 % went Over at Tennessee              
    (since        1995 )
  
   average total points per game =  50.45
   time-weighted average total   =  63.22
  
   the home team covered  36.67 % of the time
   the road team covered  63.33 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential =  2.02
  
   the favorite  covered  43.33 % of the time
   the underdog  covered  56.67 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential = -2.15
  
   the favorite won SU    74.19 % of the time
  
   South Carolina          covered  43.33 % of the time
   Tennessee               covered  56.67 % of the time
  
   Tennessee               covered  42.86 % of the time at home
   Tennessee               covered  36.36 % of the time as home favorites

 

Will Vols Get Their Revenge?

South Carolina owns wins over Miss State and Furman this year and had a respectable showing against Georgia, losing 24-14. Their other loss came in week 1 to North Carolina 31-17.

The Vols failed in their only big spot this year losing to Florida 29-16 in the swamp. Their wins came against Virginia, Austin Peay and UTSA. We’ll learn a little more this week against a Gamecocks team that at least has a pulse.

The Revenge angle is worth noting here especially since the Gamecocks hung 63 on the board last year. You can be sure that loss has been a topic of conversation in Vols land since spring camp.

With that in mind we’ll tread a little lightly here but we still like South Carolina with the generous spot.

South Carolina +12.5

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