USC at Colorado CFB Pick ATS – 9-30

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usc vs. colorado cfb pick ats
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Colorado will host USC on Saturday September 30th as the 3-1 Buffaloes look to bounce back from their blowout loss to Oregon a week ago. The Trojans are 4-0 and ranked 8th in the nation. Wagerweb has USC favored by -21.5 with a total of 74.

As you’ll see below there have been 13 meetings between these two programs since 2000 and while you won’t find any Colorado wins, you don’t have to go back too far to find some close games.

Head to Head

head-to-head history (lined games):
  
11/11/2022  Colorado                 17  +34.5  at Southern Cal             55
10/ 2/2021  Southern Cal             37  - 9.5  at Colorado                 14
10/25/2019  Southern Cal             35  -11.5  at Colorado                 31
10/13/2018  Colorado                 20  + 7.0  at Southern Cal             31
11/11/2017  Southern Cal             38  -13.5  at Colorado                 24
10/ 8/2016  Colorado                 17  + 5.5  at Southern Cal             21
11/13/2015  Southern Cal             27  -17.0  at Colorado                 24
10/18/2014  Colorado                 28  +20.0  at Southern Cal             56
11/23/2013  Southern Cal             47  -22.5  at Colorado                 29
10/20/2012  Colorado                  6  +40.5  at Southern Cal             50
11/ 4/2011  Southern Cal             42  -21.0  at Colorado                 17
 9/14/2002  Southern Cal             40  + 3.0  at Colorado                  3
 9/ 9/2000  Colorado                 14  + 7.0  at Southern Cal             17
  
   average outcome:
     Southern Cal            38.2  Colorado                18.8
     margin = -19.38
  
   time-weighted average outcome:
     Southern Cal            39.0  Colorado                20.3
     margin = -18.69
  
   average result when the home team is Colorado               
     Southern Cal            38.0  Colorado                20.3
     margin = -17.71
  
   average result when the home team is Southern Cal           
     Colorado                17.0  Southern Cal            38.3
     margin =  21.33
  
    36.36 % of games went Over
    50.00 % went Over at Colorado               
  
   average total points per game =  56.92
   time-weighted average total   =  59.26
  
   the home team covered  53.85 % of the time
   the road team covered  46.15 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential = -1.42
  
   the favorite  covered  53.85 % of the time
   the underdog  covered  46.15 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential = -2.65
  
   the favorite won SU    92.31 % of the time
  
   Southern Cal            covered  61.54 % of the time
   Colorado                covered  38.46 % of the time
  
   Colorado                covered  42.86 % of the time at home
   Colorado                covered  50.00 % of the time as home underdogs

 

Deion – Good Coach or a Mirage?

All eyes will be on Deion Sanders and his Buffaloes this Saturday as the college football world tunes in to see how the Buffs (and Deion) respond to the ass kicking they received in Oregon last week.

When you look at the series history above you’ll find a 5 game stretch of close games between 2015 and 2019. That shows us the Buffs can recruit the talent to at least compete with USC.

Good coaches make adjustments. Good coaches instill pride in their players. Good coaches rarely get blown off the field in back to back weeks. Is Deion Sanders a good coach or a mirage?

You can’t consider Colorado a paper tiger. They own wins over decent TCU and Nebraska teams and while Colorado State is no powerhouse, the Buffs stuck in there and didn’t quit, coming away with an OT win.

No doubt the Buffs are overmatched once again this week but we look for Sanders to tap into his kids emotions and have them sky high for this home affair as the Buffs keep this one respectable and close enough for the cover on Saturday.

Colorado +21.5

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