The Celtics and Heat will meet in Boston tonight for game 6 with the Celtics having an opportunity to end this series and the Heat’s season. The Celtics are -8.5 point home favs with a total of 201.5.
In our write up for game 5, we correctly predicted that the Celtics would win. We went on to predict that the Celtics would then return home and win game 6, ending the series. Our prediction still stands.
The Celtics are clearly the better team here. We’d expect nothing less than their best game of the series tonight. We all know how difficult it will be for Boston of they have to return to Miami for a 7th game. We simply don’t seer that happening.
Tonight the Celtics are 8 point favorites which is the biggest spread in this series. It’s worth noting however that all 3 of the Celtics wins came by double digits. In fact, one win was by 25, another by 20 and then game 5, on the road, by 13.
ATS trends would seem to favor the Heat here as they are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings with the Celtics and the road team is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams.
But trends tend to even out over time and we think those two trends mentioned above start to even out tonight. We think the Celtics win this one with an exclamation point setting up a very exciting and much anticipated final series with the Golden State Warriors.