As we head down the stretch in the NBA playoffs we’ll do our best to keep posting the picks from our model. Below will be the model predictions for the games of Wednesday May 18th and Thursday May 19th.
It will be game 1 for the Warriors and Mavs and game 2 for the Heat and Celtics with the Heat leading that series 1-0.
The OVER is 8-3 in the Mavs last 11 road games.
The Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.
In head to head meetings between Golden State and Dallas the over is 12-4 the last 16 meetings.
The UNDER is 12-4 the last 16 when Boston plays the Southeast.
The Celtics are 11-4 ATS their last 16 games overall.
The Celtics are 19-7 ATS their last 27 road games.
The UNDER is 7-2 in the last 9 games where Miami was the favorite.
The UNDER is 9-3 the last 12 Miami games.
In head to head meetings between Boston and Miami the OVER is 8-3 the last 11 and 23-11-1 the last 35 meetings in Miami.
Model Predictions
1st score using full season data
2nd score using last 4 games data
3rd score using last 7 games data
Dallas 214.5 106
Golden State -5.0 112
Dallas 214.5 106
Golden State -5.0 95
Dallas 214.5 109
Golden State -5.0 110
Boston 0.0 107
Miami -0.5 109
Boston 0.0 95
Miami -0.5 109
Boston 0.0 100
Miami -0.5 104