Texans Giants Pick

301
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Texans

vs.

Giants

Week 3

NFL Pick

9/21/14

The winless New York Giants will host the undefeated Houston Texans in week 3 NFL action. The Texans are currently -2 point road favorites over the Giants with a total of 41 at sportsbook.ag and the betting percentages show the public likes the Texans here as 73% of the wagers taken as of Thursday have come in on Houston.

ONCe again we’d urge you to use caution here before jumping into the Texans pool. After all, this was a 2 win team in 2013 and at the bottom of most stat categories. They have wins over the Redskins and Raiders thus far which is really nothing to get too excited about.

The Giants are feeling the growing pains of a new offensive scheme as they have scored just 14 points in each of their first two Games. However, last week they showed a huge improvement as Manning had time to sit in the pocket and really wasn’t hurried all afternoon. They went from getting outGAined considerably in week 1 to outGAining the Cards 341 to 266.

Turnovers killed the Giants again last week and that’s a coNCern here. The Giants are dead last in turnover margin in the NFL at -5 after only two weeks while the Texans are +5 and tied for 2nd. You don’t need to be a rocket scientist to know that if that doesn’t change, neither will the Giants fortunes.

We’re not going out on a limb by calling this a must win Game for the G-men. They have improved from week 1 to week 2 and this is a winnable Game for them. A win here changes everything for New York and breathes some life into their dismal start whereas a loss would simply be devastating.

Our Score Prediction model, which this early in the season still relies on some data from last season, has the Giants by a nose, 22-20. That’s a little too close for comfort and this one may very well be that close. But we see the Giants on top here as well and that’s where we’ll side here. Giants +2

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