Raiders
vs.
Broncos
Week 4
NFL Pick
10/1/17
By: Jason Green
Oakland Raiders (2-1 SU 2-1 ATS) vs. Denver Broncos (2-1 SU 1-1-1 ATS)
After looking pretty impressive winning the first two Games of the season they headed to the Nation’s Capital last week to face the Redskins and got beat badly. To say their offense struggled would be an understatement, as they only scored 10 points and had a grand total of only 128 yards. It also did not help that they were 0 for 11 on 3rd down conversions.
At 5 dimes sportsbook the Broncos are 2.5-point favorites with a total of 47.
The Broncos came off their big win over the Dallas Cowboys in Week 2 where they scored 42 points to only Score16 in suffering their first loss of the season to the Buffalo Bills. While it is still early in the season they and the Broncos need a win to keep pace with the Kansas City Chiefs, who are off to a 3-0 start. Denver had more passing and rushing yards than Buffalo, but they had two turnovers and did not force any.
Last season these teams split the two Games facing each other with each winning at home.
The Broncos are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 Games facing the Raiders and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five Games facing them at home.
The Raiders lost to the Washington Redskins 27-10 in their last Game where they only had 128 yards while they allowed the Skins to rack up 472 yards. Derek Carr was 19 for 31 for only 118 yards averaging a weak 3.8 yards per reception and whole he had a TD he was picked off twice. Jared Cook led all Raiders with 43 rushing yards and there was not much beast in Beast Mode Marshawn LyNCh, who led the squad with only 18 yards on five carries. Overall, Oakland only rushed for 32 yards averaging 2.5 yards per carry.
Carr and company will be facing a Denver defense that did give up 26 points in their last Game, but held the Bills to only 272 yards.
In their last Game the Broncos lost to the Buffalo Bills 26-16 where the two turnovers hurt their chances. Trevor Siemian passed for 259 yards, but did not have a TD and he ACCounted for both of the turnovers with a couple of interceptions. Jamaal Charles and C.J. Anderson combined to rush for 92 yards and each averaged at least 4.5 yards per carry and WR’s Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders combined for 173 receiving yards. The one bright for the Game was that Denver played solid run defense holding Buffalo to only 75 yards.
The Raiders are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road Games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Games following a ATS loss, and in their last 6 road Games the Under record is 5-1.
The Broncos are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 home Games, 16-7 ATS in their last 23 Games following a straight up loss, and in their last 5 Games the Over record is 4-1.
Jason’s Pick: The road team is 12-5-1 ATS in the last 18 Games between these bitter division rivals and that trend will continue. Carr will bouNCe back and have a big Game and while Oakland may not get the win they will cover the spread in what will be a close Game.