By: Jason Green
Oakland Raiders (6-6 SU 4-7-1 ATS) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (6-6 SU 6-6 ATS)
The Raiders have won two in a row and with the Chiefs reeling they are now tied with them atop the AFC West. They are not alone, as the Chargers are also 6-6 and the division is up for grabs. Oakland beat Kansas City at home 31-30 earlier this season, but they are 2-3 on the road on the season and betting underdogs in this division match up. The Raiders have not been impressive in beating a couple of weak teams in their last couple Games, but they are in position to repeat as AFC West champions if they finish the season strong.
5Dimes sportsbook has the Chiefs as the 4-point favorite with a total of 47.
The Chiefs are reeling, as after winning their first five Games they have lost six of their last seven Games. Their last three losses have come facing teams that do not have a winning record and they need to right their ship at home to stop the bleeding. KC still ranks a legit 6th in the league in ppg and 15th in points allowed, but things are falling apart for the team and they need this win badly to stay from being below .500 for the first time this season.
The Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Games facing the Chiefs in Kansas City.
In their last Game the Raiders were playing in their house and they beat the New York Giants 24-17. Oakland out-GAined New York 401 yards to 265 yards and they forced two turnovers while committing only one. Marshawn LyNCh had 101 yards on a legit 5.9 yards per carry and it was his first Game cracking the 100-yard rushing barrier since he came out of retirement. Derek Carr had 287 passing yards with a TD and was not picked off and Cordarrelle Patterson had 97 yards in the air to lead the team. Amari Cooper is still banged up and will likely be out for this Game, but Michael Crabtree will be back after serving a one Game suspension.
Carr and the Oakland WR corps will be facing a KC secondary that has allowed the most yards to receivers on the season among AFC West teams so Carr may be looking at a big Game like he did in the first match up at home facing the Chiefs with 417 passing yards with 3 TD and no INT.
The Chiefs and their bad 2nd half continued in their last Game with their 38-31 loss to the New York Jets. KC was killed by penalties late and while they put up 31 points they GAve up 38 and 488 total yards and they GAve up 30 first downs while they only had 17. Alex Smith had a HUGE Game passing for 366 yards with 4 TD and no INT and he also led the team with 70 rushing yards and Kareem Hunt rushed for 40 yards. Tyreek Hill led the club with 185 receiving yards and he hauled in two TD. KC has been shooting themselves in the foot in their last few Games and at home they have to get back to avoid being behind the 8-ball for the playoff race with only a few Games left in the season.
The Raiders are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home Games, 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 Games, and in their last27 Games after a straight up win they have an Over record of 19-8.
The Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Games, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Games facing teams from the AFC West, and in 60 home Games they have an Under record of 41-19.
Jason’s Pick: Ok, so I picked the Chiefs last week and I am picking them again this week. Back at home they will play well and avenge their earlier season loss to the Raiders winning and covering the spread.