Washington Redskins vs. Carolina Panthers – Week 13 NFL Betting Analysis
Washington Redskins (2-9 4-7 ATS) at Carolina Panthers (5-6 6-5 ATS)
The Washington Redskins doubled their win total in their last game, and they head south to face the Carolina Panthers, who are a 10-point betting favorite with a total of sitting at 39.5.
There has been even money bet on this game so far, as the spread has not changed since opening.
The Redskins beat the Detroit Lions 19-16 in their last game and while their offense was not overly impressive behind rookie QB Dwayne Haskins the defense did force four turnovers.
The Panthers are coming off a tough 34-31 loss to the New Orleans Saints where they missed a potential game-winning field goal late. They have lost three straight games and they are, barring a miracle, out of the playoff race. The team has gone through a killer stretch where four of their last five opponents are in the playoff race.
Washington ranks dead-last in the NFL on offense and their defense ranks 22nd so it is no shock they are double-digit road underdogs in this NFC matchup.
These teams met last season in Washington where the Redskins beat the Panthers 23-17. The Skins covered in that game and they had failed to do so in their previous four games facing Carolina.
The Redskins came into their last game, which was a 19-16 win over the Detroit Lions, with only one win and doubled up on that total with a win.
Washington scored a TD on a kickoff return from Steven Sims, Jr. and for the game they only had 230 yards while allowing 364 yards.
Redskins’ rookie QB Dwayne Haskins was 13/29 with 156 yards with no TD and a pick and he had a few chances to hit some targets for a score, but he overthrew them. He may be in hot water after taking selfies with fans before the game was over and he was not on the field to take a knee to end the game.
Derrius Guice led the team in the Lions game with 32 rushing yards only averaging 3.2 yards per carry but look for him to get a bigger workload in this game. He has missed most of the last two seasons with injury, but the team is still high on the 2018 2nd round draft pick.
The Redskins will be facing a Carolina defense that ranks 18th in the league against the pass and only 27thagainst the run.
The Panthers missed a late field goal in their last game that may have given them the win and with the loss, their playoff hopes are, pretty much, dashed.
Kyle Allen passed for 256 yards with three TD and no picks in the loss to the Saints and this was after four picks in his previous game.
While Christian McCaffrey only had 64 rushing yards in the New Orleans gave averaging a weak 2.9 yards per carry he did have 69 receiving yards.
Washington’s defense has given up big plays all season and they rank a respectable 11th against the pass but only 28th against the run. That last stat is, obviously, not good and if they contain McCaffery they have a chance to win their 2nd game in a row.
The Redskins have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last 10 games and the Panthers have failed to cover in nine of their last 12 games facing a team with a losing record.
While the underdog is 11-2 ATS in the last 13 games between these teams don’t look for that trend to continue. I am a Skins’ fan but watching them this season they simply are a bad team and Carolina will handily beat them and cover the spread moving to .500 on the season.
PICK: Panthers -10