San Francisco 49ers vs. L.A. Rams – Week 6 NFL Betting Analysis
San Francisco 49ers (4-0 3-1 ATS) at L.A. Rams (3-2 4-1 ATS)
The unbeaten 49ers head down south to L.A. to face the 3-2 Rams where they are a 3.5-point underdog with a total witting at 50.5.
The public has backed the 49ers in this NFC West matchup, as they opened as a 4.5-point underdog and are a 3.5-point underdog as of Wednesday.
While the 49ers crushed the Cleveland Browns 31-3 in their last game and are sitting at 4-0, they have not faced one team currently has a winning record.
The Rams got off to a 3-0 start before losing their last two games and they fell to the Seattle Seahawks 30-29 in their last game after missing a last second 44-yard field goal.
Last season the Rams won both games facing the 49ers, but the 49ers have covered the spread in five of their last seven games facing the Rams.
Big Time Monday Night Win
In going 4-0 in their last game the 49ers crushed the Cleveland Browns 31-3 in their last game on Monday night where they had 446 yards while holding the Browns to 180 total yards.
Jimmy Garoppolo had 181 passing yards with two TD and no INT in the Cleveland win and Matt Breida, who had an 83-yard TD scamper, and Tevin Coleman combined for 211 rushing yards.
The 49ers lack a #1 WR and do not have a great WR corps but they have one of the best TE’s in the league, George Kittle who led the team in receiving yards in the Browns game, and a rushing offense that ranks first in the league.
The Rams’ defense ranks 15th in the league against the run and that run D will be vital facing the 49ers, who are a run-first team that plays behind a great offensive line.
Where is the Star Gurley?
In their 30-29 loss to the Seahawks Jared Goff had a big game and while the Rams fed Gurley often, he struggled yet again. he only had 51 rushing yards on 15 carries and for his 3rd game in a row did not average over 3.4 yards per carry.
Jared Goff passed for nearly 400 yards in the loss to the Seahawks and the WR duo of Gerald Everett and Cooper Kupp each had at least 117 receiving yards. Still, if the Rams are one dimensional without having Gurley running the ball well L.A. will be in trouble.
San Francisco has invested top picks to improve their defense, especially the front line, and that has paid off. San Francisco has the NFL’s 2nd ranked pass defense and 5th ranked pass defense.
Nick Bosa has been solid up front as a rookie, with his best game of the season against the Browns, and veteran Richard Sherman, who had an INT in the win over the Browns, leads the secondary.
The 49ers have failed to cover in five of their last six games against teams in the NFC West.
The Rams covered on the road in their last game against the Seahawks and are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games.
Not sure about the 49ers, as they have not played a team that currently has a winning record and their passing offense has been an issue. They have the defense, but Goff will have a big game facing them and while this game will be pretty close L.A. will get the home W and cover the spread as well.
PICK: Rams -3.5