The Colts have won four of their last five games and they play host to the hottest team in the league in the Patriots, who have won seven straight games.
The Colts are a slight 2-point favorite in this AFC clash with a total of 45.5. Even with the Pats red-hot the public has backed Indy, as they opened as a 1.5-point favorite and as of Wednesday are a 2-point favorite.
After Week 14 the Patriots are 9-4 and 9-4 ATS and the Colts are 7-6 and 8-5 ATS.
Not only have the Pats won seven in a row but they are coming off a bye week. They scored a big win in their last game where they were on the road and only passed three times in a 14-10 win over the Buffalo Bills.
The Colts were on the road in their last game where they crushed the Houston Texans 31-0. They rushed for 228 yards and killed it on defense in the shutout holding Houston to only 141 total yards.
These teams have not met since the 2018 season. The Pats have covered the spread in five of their last six games facing the Colts.
Keep it Perfect
The Pats are 9-4 and in first place in the AFC East and they are a prefect 6-0 on the road this season.
Mac Jones should be rested since he is coming off a bye and only passed three times in the last game. He only has one pick in the last four games and none in the last two.
Damien Harris (754 yards 9 TD) is listed as questionable for this game but should go and rushed for 111 yards in the win over the Bills. Rhamondre Stevenson (429 yards 3 TD) has emerged as a solid option out of the backfield and he rushed for 76 yards in the last game.
Kendrick Bourne and Jakobi Meyers each have at least 620 receiving yards and while they have not made too many big plays they have moved the chains when their number has been called.
The Colts are coming off a shutout win, ok it was Houston, and on the season their defense ranks 12th in the NFL against the pass and 17th against the run.
Get to .500 at Home
The Colts are one game under .500 at home and they need a home win this Saturday to keep pace with the Tennessee Titans, who they trail by two games in the AFC South.
Carson Wentz has put together a solid season, as he has passed for nearly 3,000 yards with 22 TD and five INT and rank eighth in the NFL in QBR. He only has two picks in the last five games, which came in Indy’s only loss in that game, which was facing the Bucs.
Michael Pittman Jr. is Wentz’s main target with 882 receiving yards with the next leading target with 346 yards.
The4 one player the New England defense has to worry about is RB Jonathan Taylor, who leads the league with 1,348 yards. He has at least 116 rushing yards in four of the last four games and when he has rushed for over 100 yards the Colts are 7-0 and 0-6 when he doesn’t.
The Patriots defense rank first in the NFL only giving up an average of 15.4 ppg and they rank third in the league in pass defense and 19th in run defense.
Not only have the Pats won their last seven games but covered in all of them as well.
New England is hot and coming off a bye week and their defense has killed it. Mac Jones has limited mistakes and the team has ran the ball well. While the weakness of their defense is the run defense they have not given up a lot of yards on the ground and have kept teams out of the end zone. Taylor will be a handful and I think the Pats will stack the line to keep him from having a big game. Wentz will get his yards but not get Indy in the end zone often. I see a close on in this one and the Pats will not only cover but get the win as well.