Week 11 NFL Picks – 11-20

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The following NFL picks are posted weekly here on Bettorsworld by the “Black Cat”. He’s been a football fixture here on the site for a couple of decades and you can find his plays here each week – https://www.bettorsworld.com/the-black-cat-nfl-picks/

WEEK 11

67. Philadelphia -6.5 Indianapolis (5 Stars)
I already released this on twitter earlier this week. The Colts beat a bad team but now they really need coaches that they don’t have, and there will be no hiding that offensive line from the Eagles. The Eagles know the Colts are going to try to run all day, and they brought in 2 quality free agents this week to shore that up after the Commanders exposed them. I already think the Eagles will outrush the Colts, although both will be productive. The Eagles may not throw for a lot of yards but – when they do – HUGE chunks. I see big plays, probably by AJ Brown. The nail in the coffin will be turnovers, of which I expect at least 2. They will also win the pressure battle, obviously. The Eagles blew last week but they will rebound in this one, no doubt. It’ll be big.
Eagles 34, Colts 22

68. Minnesota +1.5 Dallas (4.5 Stars)
This game is really even. Keep in mind, Dak has been a .500 player for the last year while Cousins is a winner! I checked and it still says the Vikings are at home, and home field has been doing pretty well lately. These are two teams that are about 5th in the entire league and it will be tight, but I’m taking home field. I don’t know what Dallas bettors are taking – probably just fandom. You like that? I also had good instincts on this one, posting it to tweetville on Monday. The computer validates it completely.
Vikings 24, Cowboys 21

69. Chicago +3 Atlanta (4 Stars)
I see massive rushing yards for both teams in this one. But after watching Mariotta’s disaster last week, I just have no confidence in the Falcons to win games and overall, the defense is the 2nd worst in the league! Meanwhile, Justin Fields is on an absolute tear and he can get whatever yards he wants, with Montgomery getting the rest. So things stack up pretty evenly but I’m riding Fields over Mariotta and not losing sleep tonight.
Bears 24, Falcons 23

70. LA Chargers +5 KC (3 Stars)
I have the Chiefs ranked 7th, whereas the Chargers are something like 7th from the bottom. So on surface this line seems pretty reasonable. But I have this more as a +3 point game. Then, throw in the return of Williams AND Kenan Allen for the first time and you may have a recipe for an upset. There’s a lot of data not to like – for example, the running game – so I’m going to play this conservatively here but this could be a tough win for the Chiefs…or even a loss.
Chargers 23, Chiefs 26

71. Denver -2.5 Las Vegas (3 Stars)
Denver is among the best defenses in the league, particularly vs the pass. Their offense – however, is the worst. But the Raiders say “Hold Our Beer” – THEY have the worst DEFENSE! So you have a top defense against a worst defense in the same game, which points you to the Broncos. I do see them having a decent day in the air with far more chunk plays. And this is a passing league, after all. The computer says the Bronco ypp advantage is 2nd best of the weekend, behind the Eagles but ahead of the Bills and Bengals. So cringe but….
Broncos 27, Raiders 21

72. Pittsburgh +3.5 Cincinnati (2 Stars)
I like this line, I think it is about right. But now – I’m going to throw in TJ Watt and Minkah Fitzpatrick playing together for the first time in months. How much is THAT worth on the line? I think this is going to make it one heck of a game. But the Bengals are also surging and have looked very good lately, so I’m going to temper this one and play it as Pittsburgh +1.5. Should be a fun one!
Steelers 22, Bengals 23